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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 9, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York

Ottawa Senators 1, New York Rangers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 78% of the time.

NYR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:02Shot by Schneider, saved by Forsberg
  3. P1 2:22Goal by Watson (Kastelic, Kelly)+10 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Braun, Goodrow, Kakko, Schneider, Lafrenière · OTT Del Zotto, Hamonic, Watson, Kastelic, Kelly

  4. P1 2:58Shot by Rooney, saved by Forsberg
  5. P1 3:56Shot by Miller, saved by Forsberg
  6. P1 5:41Shot by Rooney, saved by Forsberg
  7. P1 5:55Norris: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Reaves, Braun, Hunt, Rooney, Lindgren · OTT Del Zotto, Hamonic, Joseph, Norris, Tkachuk

  8. P1 9:07Shot by Kreider, saved by Forsberg
  9. P1 10:24Shot by Trouba, saved by Forsberg
  10. P1 11:15Shot by Holden, saved by Shesterkin
  11. P1 11:35Shot by Zub, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 12:32Goal by Panarin, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Strome, Copp, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren · OTT Hamonic, Brown, White, Formenton, Brannstrom

  13. P1 14:41Shot by Goodrow, saved by Forsberg
  14. P1 14:43Shot by Goodrow, saved by Forsberg
  15. P1 16:53Shot by Vatrano, saved by Forsberg
  16. P1 17:21Shot by Fox, saved by Forsberg
  17. P1 17:26Shot by Panarin, saved by Forsberg
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 1:48Shot by Strome, saved by Forsberg
  21. P2 2:24Shot by Goodrow, saved by Forsberg
  22. P2 2:45Shot by Gaudette, saved by Shesterkin
  23. P2 2:56Fox: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Reaves, Hunt, Rooney, Fox, Lindgren · OTT Watson, Gaudette, Brannstrom, Kastelic, Zub

  24. P2 3:42Shot by Kreider, saved by Forsberg4v5
  25. P2 4:37Shot by Strome, saved by Forsberg4v5
  26. P2 6:30Shot by Norris, saved by Shesterkin
  27. P2 6:56Goal by Copp (Panarin, Miller)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Copp, Panarin, Rooney, Miller · OTT Del Zotto, Hamonic, Tierney, Joseph, Kelly

  28. P2 7:49Shot by Trouba, saved by Forsberg
  29. P2 8:03Shot by Hunt, saved by Forsberg
  30. P2 8:04Shot by Hunt, saved by Forsberg
  31. P2 9:05Goal by Kreider (Lindgren, Zibanejad)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Vatrano, Fox, Lindgren · OTT Del Zotto, Hamonic, Joseph, Norris, Tkachuk

  32. P2 9:25Shot by Goodrow, saved by Forsberg
  33. P2 10:45Shot by Trouba, saved by Forsberg
  34. P2 12:04Shot by Tierney, saved by Shesterkin
  35. P2 12:50Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Forsberg
  36. P2 13:45Shot by White, saved by Shesterkin
  37. P2 14:14Shot by Joseph, saved by Shesterkin
  38. P2 16:14Shot by Gambrell, saved by Shesterkin
  39. P2 17:27Goal by Strome (Panarin, Lindgren)+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Strome, Copp, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren · OTT Brown, White, Formenton, Brannstrom, Zub

  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 1:22Shot by Brown, saved by Shesterkin
  43. P3 4:04Shot by Trouba, saved by Forsberg
  44. P3 4:42Shot by Hamonic, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P3 5:34Shot by Fox, saved by Forsberg
  46. P3 6:58Shot by Vatrano, saved by Forsberg
  47. P3 8:23Shot by Tierney, saved by Shesterkin
  48. P3 8:52Shot by Panarin, saved by Forsberg
  49. P3 9:10Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P3 11:11Shot by Hunt, saved by Forsberg
  51. P3 11:58Shot by Gaudette, saved by Shesterkin
  52. P3 12:24Shot by Norris, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P3 12:59Shot by Brown, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P3 13:34Shot by Kreider, saved by Forsberg
  55. P3 15:48Shot by Zub, saved by Shesterkin
  56. P3 15:58Shot by Strome, saved by Forsberg
  57. P3 17:31Goal by Kreider (Vatrano, Braun)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Braun, Kreider, Zibanejad, Vatrano, Schneider · OTT Del Zotto, Hamonic, Brown, White, Kelly

  58. P3 18:24Shot by Gambrell, saved by Shesterkin
  59. P3 18:31Shot by Zub, saved by Shesterkin
  60. P3 19:32Shot by Formenton, saved by Shesterkin
  61. P3 19:35Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Shesterkin
  62. P3 19:38Shot by Watson, saved by Shesterkin
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Final