Sun, Apr 10, 2022·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Los Angeles Kings 3, Minnesota Wild 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 311 | 016 | 07 | 334 |
| MIN | 210 | 313 | 110 | 633 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:33LAKRasmus KupariSHAssists: Trevor Moore · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–0
- P1 8:22LAKCarl GrundstromUnassisted · Backhand, 0.09 xG2–0
- P1 10:17LAKAdrian KempePPAssists: Sean Durzi, Phillip Danault · Slap, 0.04 xG3–0
- P1 16:04MINKirill KaprizovPPAssists: Matt Boldy, Jared Spurgeon · Deflected, 0.04 xG3–1
- P1 16:54MINMatt BoldyAssists: Kevin Fiala, Jake Middleton · Slap, 0.06 xG3–2
- P2 1:39MINJared SpurgeonUnassisted · Backhand, 0.08 xG3–3
- P2 9:46MINMats ZuccarelloGWGAssists: Ryan Hartman · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–4
- P2 13:59MINMarcus FolignoAssists: Jordie Benn, Jordan Greenway · Tip-in, 0.04 xG3–5
- P3 3:16MINNick BjugstadAssists: Jake Middleton · Wrist, 0.21 xG3–6
Penalties (8)
- P1 0:28LAKTroy Stecher: Tripping2 min
- P1 9:31MINJonas Brodin: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 15:49LAKCal Petersen: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 14:41MINMats Zuccarello: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:22MINMats Zuccarello: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 3:16LAKBrendan Lemieux: Fighting5 min
- P3 3:16MINBrandon Duhaime: Fighting5 min
- P3 13:26LAKBrendan Lemieux: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Gaudreau
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Arvidsson – Moore11:59
xG 0.43–0.32 (57%)attempts 16–8goals 0–0
- Vilardi – Kupari – Byfield10:30
xG 0.49–0.52 (48%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Iafallo10:46
xG 0.47–0.53 (47%)attempts 11–11goals 0–2
- Lemieux – Grundstrom – Lizotte7:16
xG 0.10–0.42 (19%)attempts 2–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Durzi – Bjornfot11:08
xG 0.33–0.35 (49%)attempts 8–11goals 0–2
- Maatta – Spence13:47
xG 0.65–0.70 (48%)attempts 11–16goals 1–1
- Roy – Spence2:12
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestBjugstad – Jost – Duhaime7:41
xG 0.54–0.14 (79%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov11:47
xG 0.56–0.18 (75%)attempts 13–7goals 1–0
- Gaudreau – Fiala – Boldy9:01
xG 0.70–0.50 (58%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Foligno – Greenway – Eriksson Ek11:32
xG 0.33–0.58 (36%)attempts 11–16goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestSpurgeon – Middleton13:44
xG 0.79–0.40 (66%)attempts 19–17goals 2–0
- Kulikov – Brodin14:57
xG 0.46–0.37 (55%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
- Kulikov – Middleton2:50
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).