Sat, Apr 9, 2022·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
San Jose Sharks 2, Vancouver Canucks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 115 | 113 | 09 | 237 |
| VAN | 115 | 114 | 210 | 439 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:03VANJason DickinsonUnassisted · Wrist, 0.24 xG0–1
- P1 7:33SJSTomas HertlPPAssists: Timo Meier, Erik Karlsson · Snap, 0.71 xG1–1
- P2 4:49VANConor GarlandAssists: Alex Chiasson · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
- P2 18:37SJSNick BoninoAssists: Brent Burns, Noah Gregor · Tip-in, 0.06 xG2–2
- P3 2:07VANAlex ChiassonGWGAssists: Bo Horvat, Tyler Myers · Snap, 0.19 xG2–3
- P3 19:59VANLuke SchennENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.71 xG2–4
Penalties (14)
- P1 2:39SJSRudolfs Balcers: Tripping2 min
- P1 5:10SJSNoah Gregor: Fighting5 min
- P1 5:10VANWilliam Lockwood: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 6:33VANVasily Podkolzin: Cross checking2 min
- P1 6:55VANJ.T. Miller: Slashing2 min
- P1 9:39SJSBrent Burns: Roughing2 min
- P1 14:16SJSMario Ferraro: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:20VANNic Petan: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:42SJSJonathan Dahlen: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:46SJSNoah Gregor: Holding2 min
- P2 19:04VANWilliam Lockwood: Interference2 min
- P2 19:20SJSTimo Meier: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:13SJSTimo Meier: Cross checking2 min
- P3 19:20VANTyler Myers: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hertl won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Meier – Chmelevski6:15
xG 0.66–0.34 (66%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Bonino – Nieto – Gregor5:11
xG 0.32–0.67 (32%)attempts 6–8goals 1–2
- Hertl – Balcers – Barabanov8:36
xG 0.19–0.64 (23%)attempts 2–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Karlsson2:13
xG 0.40–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Burns – Ferraro2:23
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 1–0
- Burns – Megna5:58
xG 0.25–0.32 (44%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestChiasson – Horvat – Podkolzin8:33
xG 0.79–0.57 (58%)attempts 13–7goals 1–0
- Miller – Garland – Pettersson8:58
xG 0.58–0.42 (58%)attempts 12–11goals 1–0
- Dickinson – Lammikko – Lockwood6:30
xG 0.47–0.41 (53%)attempts 4–6goals 1–0
- Richardson – Dickinson – Lammikko2:18
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Ekman-Larsson10:17
xG 1.06–0.48 (69%)attempts 16–9goals 1–0
- Burroughs – Dermott6:57
xG 0.41–0.08 (84%)attempts 7–3goals 2–0
- Schenn – Hughes10:24
xG 0.12–0.65 (15%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).