Sun, Apr 10, 2022·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Anaheim Ducks 2, Carolina Hurricanes 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 97% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 211 | 09 | 05 | 225 |
| CAR | 316 | 018 | 29 | 543 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:17CARAndrei SvechnikovAssists: Brady Skjei, Seth Jarvis · Tip-in, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 5:07CARJordan StaalAssists: Nino Niederreiter, Jesper Fast · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–2
- P1 6:12ANAJosh MahuraAssists: Dominik Simon · Snap, 0.01 xG1–2
- P1 9:30CARJordan MartinookGWGAssists: Max Domi, Andrei Svechnikov · Backhand, 0.18 xG1–3
- P1 11:46ANATroy TerryAssists: Trevor Zegras, Derek Grant · Backhand, 0.18 xG2–3
- P3 13:42CARJordan StaalAssists: Nino Niederreiter, Jaccob Slavin · Wrist, 0.21 xG2–4
- P3 18:52CARJordan StaalENAssists: Jesper Fast, Tony DeAngelo · Wrist, 0.60 xG2–5
Penalties (11)
- P1 7:12CARAndrei Svechnikov: High sticking2 min
- P1 11:46CARNino Niederreiter: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P1 11:46ANARyan Getzlaf: Delaying game bench face off violation2 min
- P1 16:30ANAUrho Vaakanainen: High sticking2 min
- P2 4:39CARTeuvo Teravainen: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:25CARAndrei Svechnikov: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:25ANARyan Getzlaf: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:25ANAGerry Mayhew: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:25CARSeth Jarvis: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:25ANAAdam Henrique: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:37CARVincent Trocheck: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Trocheck won the faceoff against Lundeström
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGrant – Terry – Zegras11:20
xG 0.81–0.37 (69%)attempts 13–7goals 1–1
- Milano – Mayhew – Lundeström2:31
xG 0.03–0.12 (19%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Milano – Simon – Lundeström3:35
xG 0.00–0.24 (0%)attempts 0–8goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Carrick – Steel2:31
xG 0.08–0.53 (13%)attempts 3–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Fowler11:58
xG 0.75–0.26 (74%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Fowler – Drysdale3:26
xG 0.16–0.24 (40%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Shattenkirk – Vaakanainen2:44
xG 0.00–0.28 (0%)attempts 1–6goals 0–2
Carolina Hurricanes
Forward lines
- bestStaal – Niederreiter – Fast9:52
xG 1.53–0.25 (86%)attempts 21–4goals 2–1
- Martinook – Domi – Lorentz8:20
xG 0.71–0.12 (86%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Trocheck – Teravainen – Necas8:44
xG 0.60–0.07 (89%)attempts 12–4goals 0–0
- Aho – Svechnikov – Jarvis13:01
xG 0.48–0.86 (36%)attempts 8–14goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestSlavin – DeAngelo14:18
xG 1.35–0.05 (97%)attempts 24–4goals 1–0
- Cole – Bear12:34
xG 1.05–0.14 (88%)attempts 18–8goals 0–1
- Skjei – Pesce16:46
xG 0.82–1.13 (42%)attempts 12–19goals 2–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CAR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CAR is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 97% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CAR − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).