Sun, Apr 10, 2022·United Center, Chicago
Dallas Stars 6, Chicago Blackhawks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 210 | 310 | 110 | 630 |
| CHI | 213 | 112 | 115 | 440 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:14DALJamie BennPPAssists: Miro Heiskanen, Ryan Suter · Backhand, 0.37 xG1–0
- P1 8:09CHIPhilipp KurashevAssists: Patrick Kane · Deflected, 0.03 xG1–1
- P1 11:24CHIJonathan ToewsPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Kirby Dach · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–2
- P1 13:45DALJoe PavelskiPPAssists: Tyler Seguin, John Klingberg · Tip-in, 0.23 xG2–2
- P2 1:47DALRoope HintzAssists: Joe Pavelski · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–2
- P2 9:11CHIBoris KatchoukAssists: Erik Gustafsson, Reese Johnson · Snap, 0.05 xG3–3
- P2 11:13DALJason RobertsonAssists: Roope Hintz · Wrist, 0.22 xG4–3
- P2 14:32DALJason RobertsonGWGAssists: Roope Hintz, Ryan Suter · Wrist, 0.03 xG5–3
- P3 15:25DALTyler SeguinAssists: Jamie Benn, Miro Heiskanen · Wrap-around, 0.07 xG6–3
- P3 17:03CHIKirby DachAssists: Sam Lafferty, MacKenzie Entwistle · Wrist, 0.08 xG6–4
Penalties (4)
- P1 2:15CHIRiley Stillman: Kneeing2 min · PPG
- P1 9:47DALRadek Faksa: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 12:13CHIAlex DeBrincat: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 15:54DALRoope Hintz: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Seguin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestPavelski – Hintz – Robertson10:58
xG 0.91–0.67 (58%)attempts 17–13goals 3–0
- Seguin – Namestnikov – Glendening8:19
xG 0.24–0.06 (80%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Radulov – Faksa – Peterson7:03
xG 0.00–0.25 (0%)attempts 2–8goals 0–1
- Benn – Raffl – Gurianov7:19
xG 0.28–0.56 (33%)attempts 7–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSuter – Heiskanen18:10
xG 0.93–0.28 (77%)attempts 15–11goals 2–0
- Klingberg – Lindell11:50
xG 0.78–0.63 (55%)attempts 14–15goals 1–1
- Hakanpää – Lindell2:33
xG 0.13–0.10 (57%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestLafferty – Dach – Reichel5:42
xG 0.35–0.11 (77%)attempts 5–3goals 0–1
- Strome – DeBrincat – Reichel2:28
xG 0.23–0.03 (89%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Strome – DeBrincat – Raddysh10:34
xG 0.27–0.21 (57%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Katchouk – Entwistle – Johnson7:52
xG 0.24–0.32 (43%)attempts 10–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcCabe – Vlasic2:48
xG 0.23–0.14 (63%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Gustafsson – Jones4:38
xG 0.19–0.12 (62%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- de Haan – McCabe3:09
xG 0.17–0.22 (45%)attempts 4–3goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it DAL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − DAL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).