Sun, Feb 20, 2022·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Vegas Golden Knights 4, San Jose Sharks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 216 | 19 | 110 | 435 |
| SJS | 08 | 014 | 114 | 136 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:14VGKKeegan KolesarAssists: Brett Howden, Shea Theodore · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
- P1 14:34VGKJack EichelGWGAssists: Chandler Stephenson, Alex Pietrangelo · Tip-in, 0.07 xG2–0
- P2 1:23VGKMax PaciorettyAssists: Shea Theodore, Jack Eichel · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–0
- P3 10:17SJSNick BoninoAssists: Andrew Cogliano · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–1
- P3 19:27VGKChandler StephensonENAssists: Max Pacioretty, Nicolas Roy · Wrist, 0.73 xG4–1
Penalties (13)
- P1 5:37SJSRudolfs Balcers: High sticking double minor4 min
- P1 13:31SJSBrent Burns: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:03VGKShea Theodore: Slashing2 min
- P2 5:48VGKMattias Janmark: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:43VGKShea Theodore: High sticking2 min
- P3 19:51SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:51VGKBen Hutton: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:51SJSLane Pederson: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:51VGKWilliam Carrier: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:51VGKWilliam Carrier: Misconduct10 min
- P3 19:51SJSJeffrey Viel: Misconduct10 min
- P3 19:51VGKKeegan Kolesar: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:51SJSJeffrey Viel: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Roy won the faceoff against Hertl
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestCarrier – Kolesar – Howden9:05
xG 0.49–0.18 (73%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Dadonov – Janmark – Roy9:07
xG 0.61–0.40 (61%)attempts 16–11goals 0–1
- Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault11:02
xG 0.43–0.33 (57%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Pacioretty – Stephenson – Eichel11:30
xG 0.26–0.49 (35%)attempts 12–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestPietrangelo – Hague15:55
xG 0.51–0.40 (56%)attempts 17–15goals 0–0
- McNabb – Theodore17:00
xG 0.77–0.75 (51%)attempts 21–17goals 2–1
- Hutton – Coghlan7:49
xG 0.24–0.24 (50%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Nieto – Balcers7:59
xG 0.52–0.43 (55%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
- Hertl – Meier – Balcers2:36
xG 0.06–0.03 (71%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Pederson – Dahlen – Viel5:46
xG 0.18–0.20 (48%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Couture – Gregor – Barabanov2:10
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Vlasic – Merkley11:35
xG 0.48–0.44 (52%)attempts 13–13goals 0–1
- Burns – Ferraro17:13
xG 0.61–0.66 (48%)attempts 16–19goals 0–1
- Middleton – Meloche13:44
xG 0.47–0.63 (43%)attempts 14–16goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it VGK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − VGK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).