Tue, Apr 12, 2022·FLA Live Arena, Sunrise
Anaheim Ducks 2, Florida Panthers 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 91% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 14 | 115 | 04 | 01 | 224 |
| FLA | 017 | 120 | 113 | 15 | 355 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:38ANATroy TerryAssists: Trevor Zegras, Derek Grant · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–0
- P2 1:44FLAAnthony DuclairAssists: Carter Verhaeghe, Aleksander Barkov · Backhand, 0.02 xG1–1
- P2 17:24ANADerek GrantAssists: Jamie Drysdale, Adam Henrique · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–1
- P3 10:09FLAAnthony DuclairPPAssists: Sam Reinhart, Claude Giroux · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- OT 3:41FLAJonathan HuberdeauGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–3
Penalties (5)
- P1 9:34ANAKevin Shattenkirk: Cross checking2 min
- P1 16:29FLARobert Hagg: Hooking2 min
- P3 3:54FLAClaude Giroux: Slashing2 min
- P3 5:53ANAAdam Henrique: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:24ANAGerry Mayhew: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bennett won the faceoff against Getzlaf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- Carrick – Aston-Reese – Lundeström2:10
xG 0.02–0.02 (44%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Henrique – Grant – Terry2:07
xG 0.13–0.18 (41%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
- Getzlaf – Henrique – Mayhew12:41
xG 0.51–0.71 (42%)attempts 11–17goals 0–0
- Milano – Aston-Reese – Lundeström5:37
xG 0.08–0.29 (22%)attempts 2–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Shattenkirk – Fowler16:40
xG 0.60–0.84 (42%)attempts 15–20goals 1–0
- Vaakanainen – Drysdale14:24
xG 0.30–1.18 (20%)attempts 6–26goals 1–1
- Sustr – Benoit13:44
xG 0.15–1.06 (12%)attempts 5–22goals 0–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestHornqvist – Mamin – Luostarinen6:57
xG 0.88–0.15 (86%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Giroux – Huberdeau – Bennett10:55
xG 0.99–0.30 (77%)attempts 18–8goals 0–1
- Duclair – Verhaeghe – Barkov11:13
xG 0.77–0.42 (65%)attempts 22–6goals 1–1
- Reinhart – Marchment – Lundell10:03
xG 0.26–0.26 (49%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChiarot – Weegar18:56
xG 1.66–0.60 (73%)attempts 33–12goals 0–1
- Montour – Forsling15:12
xG 0.99–0.14 (87%)attempts 24–5goals 1–0
- Gudas – Hagg7:32
xG 0.28–0.30 (48%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 91% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).