Tue, Apr 12, 2022·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Vegas Golden Knights 4, Vancouver Canucks 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 113 | 115 | 217 | 00 | 445 |
| VAN | 16 | 314 | 05 | 12 | 527 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:04VANBo HorvatPPAssists: Alex Chiasson, J.T. Miller · Snap, 0.19 xG0–1
- P1 16:59VGKAlec MartinezAssists: Mattias Janmark, Keegan Kolesar · Deflected, 0.07 xG1–1
- P2 1:27VANVasily PodkolzinPPAssists: Elias Pettersson, Quinn Hughes · Wrist, 0.40 xG1–2
- P2 3:16VANElias PetterssonAssists: Conor Garland · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–3
- P2 4:26VGKMichael AmadioAssists: Jonathan Marchessault, William Karlsson · Tip-in, 0.09 xG2–3
- P2 13:03VANBrad RichardsonAssists: Elias Pettersson · Snap, 0.18 xG2–4
- P3 5:27VGKShea TheodoreAssists: Evgenii Dadonov, Alec Martinez · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–4
- P3 19:18VGKShea TheodoreAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Jack Eichel · Slap, 0.03 xG4–4
- OT 0:51VANQuinn HughesGWGAssists: Conor Garland, Bo Horvat · Backhand, 0.16 xG4–5
Penalties (6)
- P1 0:57VGKAlex Pietrangelo: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 1:28VGKMax Pacioretty: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 9:50VANVasily Podkolzin: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 19:33VGKEvgenii Dadonov: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 9:17VANTyler Myers: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:47VANKyle Burroughs: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Eichel
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestPacioretty – Stone – Stephenson9:31
xG 0.68–0.29 (70%)attempts 13–7goals 0–1
- Janmark – Kolesar – Leschyshyn7:27
xG 0.60–0.39 (60%)attempts 13–4goals 1–1
- Marchessault – Eichel – Roy2:01
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Dadonov – Eichel – Roy7:33
xG 0.29–0.29 (50%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMartinez – Pietrangelo2:53
xG 0.19–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 1–0
- Martinez – Theodore2:29
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Martinez – Whitecloud10:04
xG 0.54–0.50 (52%)attempts 9–7goals 0–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Chiasson – Miller – Podkolzin10:50
xG 0.52–0.49 (52%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Horvat – Garland – Pettersson11:45
xG 0.72–0.69 (51%)attempts 10–22goals 1–3
- Dickinson – Lammikko – Lockwood11:29
xG 0.32–0.58 (36%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Ekman-Larsson16:33
xG 0.93–0.50 (65%)attempts 15–15goals 2–0
- Hunt – Dermott7:20
xG 0.25–0.47 (35%)attempts 4–10goals 0–1
- Schenn – Hughes12:15
xG 0.24–0.97 (20%)attempts 5–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it VGK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − VGK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).