Wed, Apr 13, 2022·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
New York Rangers 4, Philadelphia Flyers 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 113 | 213 | 18 | 434 |
| PHI | 010 | 012 | 06 | 028 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:20NYRKaapo KakkoGWGAssists: Barclay Goodrow, K'Andre Miller · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P2 8:22NYRKaapo KakkoAssists: Filip Chytil · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–0
- P2 11:03NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Jacob Trouba · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–0
- P3 18:07NYRAndrew CoppENAssists: Barclay Goodrow, Jacob Trouba · Backhand, 0.76 xG4–0
Penalties (11)
- P1 11:51PHINoah Cates: Holding2 min
- P1 11:56PHIKevin Hayes: Slashing2 min
- P1 12:33PHIScott Laughton: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:33NYRChris Kreider: Slashing2 min
- P2 0:20NYRK'Andre Miller: Holding2 min
- P2 15:19PHIKevin Hayes: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:19NYRBarclay Goodrow: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:40PHIEgor Zamula: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 17:41NYRAdam Fox: Slashing2 min
- P3 18:07PHITravis Konecny: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:07NYRBarclay Goodrow: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hayes won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestReaves – Hunt – Rooney7:41
xG 0.57–0.01 (98%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Strome – Copp – Panarin12:14
xG 0.45–0.51 (47%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Goodrow – Chytil – Kakko10:16
xG 0.51–0.62 (45%)attempts 9–11goals 2–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Vatrano9:12
xG 0.18–0.34 (35%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBraun – Miller2:16
xG 0.21–0.01 (97%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Braun – Schneider10:20
xG 0.19–0.18 (51%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Trouba – Miller14:34
xG 0.57–0.76 (43%)attempts 12–19goals 2–0
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestLaughton – Tippett – Cates9:12
xG 0.44–0.22 (67%)attempts 16–6goals 0–0
- Hayes – Konecny – Farabee11:43
xG 0.41–0.43 (49%)attempts 10–13goals 0–1
- Lindblom – Laczynski – MacEwen6:13
xG 0.15–0.41 (26%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
- van Riemsdyk – Frost – Brink9:28
xG 0.25–0.59 (30%)attempts 5–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestConnauton – Zamula17:36
xG 1.01–0.44 (70%)attempts 17–11goals 0–0
- Yandle – Attard7:43
xG 0.24–0.42 (37%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Sanheim – Provorov18:22
xG 0.44–0.80 (35%)attempts 22–21goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).