Wed, Apr 13, 2022·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Montréal Canadiens 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 04 | 19 | 08 | 121 |
| CBJ | 110 | 212 | 29 | 531 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:36CBJJack RoslovicAssists: Patrik Laine, Vladislav Gavrikov · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
- P2 15:52CBJJack RoslovicGWGAssists: Patrik Laine, Gustav Nyquist · Deflected, 0.10 xG0–2
- P2 17:22CBJPatrik LainePPAssists: Gustav Nyquist, Jakub Voracek · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–3
- P2 18:09MTLRyan PoehlingPPAssists: Nick Suzuki, Mike Hoffman · Tip-in, 0.19 xG1–3
- P3 6:24CBJCole SillingerAssists: Emil Bemstrom, Nick Blankenburg · Tip-in, 0.05 xG1–4
- P3 17:38CBJEmil BemstromAssists: Jakub Voracek, Cole Sillinger · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–5
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:48CBJEmil Bemstrom: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 13:53MTLJeff Petry: Interference2 min
- P2 9:20MTLAlexander Romanov: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:08CBJAndrew Peeke: Interference2 min
- P2 16:26MTLMike Hoffman: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 18:00CBJBrendan Gaunce: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 0:32CBJKent Johnson: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Suzuki won the faceoff against Roslovic
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestAnderson – Suzuki – Caufield14:32
xG 0.77–0.46 (62%)attempts 18–14goals 0–2
- Byron – Gallagher – Poehling5:07
xG 0.28–0.13 (68%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Pitlick – Dvorak – Pitlick3:07
xG 0.13–0.11 (54%)attempts 2–6goals 0–2
- Hoffman – Armia – Evans3:10
xG 0.06–0.18 (24%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPetry – Edmundson14:02
xG 0.97–0.69 (58%)attempts 14–15goals 0–1
- Savard – Romanov13:37
xG 0.42–0.31 (58%)attempts 17–17goals 0–3
- Wideman – Harris13:17
xG 0.22–0.65 (25%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestNyquist – Roslovic – Laine13:37
xG 0.59–0.22 (72%)attempts 15–9goals 2–0
- Bjorkstrand – Danforth – Johnson6:56
xG 0.34–0.28 (55%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Gaunce – Meyer – Robinson7:29
xG 0.14–0.19 (44%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Voracek – Bemstrom – Sillinger10:40
xG 0.25–0.58 (30%)attempts 6–12goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestWerenski – Peeke14:01
xG 0.67–0.47 (59%)attempts 13–13goals 1–0
- Bean – Blankenburg12:35
xG 0.23–0.27 (46%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Gavrikov – Boqvist10:40
xG 0.31–0.37 (46%)attempts 12–9goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).