Tue, Apr 12, 2022·United Center, Chicago
Los Angeles Kings 5, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 214 | 113 | 29 | 536 |
| CHI | 06 | 15 | 19 | 220 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:43LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Phillip Danault, Viktor Arvidsson · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 10:50LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Matt Roy, Viktor Arvidsson · Deflected, 0.05 xG2–0
- P2 16:27CHITaylor RaddyshAssists: Philipp Kurashev, Jonathan Toews · Snap, 0.14 xG2–1
- P2 17:00LAKBlake LizotteGWGAssists: Alex Iafallo, Dustin Brown · Backhand, 0.11 xG3–1
- P3 5:08LAKJordan SpenceAssists: Anze Kopitar, Arthur Kaliyev · Deflected, 0.01 xG4–1
- P3 16:42CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Taylor Raddysh, Philipp Kurashev · Wrist, 0.10 xG4–2
- P3 18:24LAKBlake LizotteENAssists: Dustin Brown, Alexander Edler · Wrist, 0.71 xG5–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 16:24LAKGabriel Vilardi: Tripping2 min
- P2 4:51CHIAlec Regula: Slashing2 min
- P2 4:54LAKAdrian Kempe: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:38LAKAlexander Edler: Holding2 min
- P3 7:16LAKSean Durzi: High sticking2 min
- P3 10:33LAKQuinton Byfield: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:12CHIAlec Regula: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:35CHIReese Johnson: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dach won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Iafallo – Lizotte9:50
xG 0.87–0.68 (56%)attempts 17–7goals 1–1
- Kopitar – Kempe – Kaliyev10:53
xG 0.24–0.12 (67%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore9:32
xG 0.33–0.25 (56%)attempts 11–7goals 2–1
- Vilardi – Kupari – Byfield8:21
xG 0.20–0.14 (59%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRoy – Durzi14:25
xG 0.61–0.23 (72%)attempts 13–9goals 2–1
- Maatta – Spence10:38
xG 0.44–0.23 (66%)attempts 12–5goals 1–1
- Edler – Stecher14:04
xG 0.42–0.50 (46%)attempts 17–10goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestLafferty – Raddysh – Dach4:36
xG 0.35–0.20 (63%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Toews – Raddysh – Kurashev2:09
xG 0.14–0.10 (60%)attempts 2–5goals 1–0
- Katchouk – Entwistle – Johnson8:23
xG 0.21–0.24 (47%)attempts 4–3goals 0–1
- Lafferty – Strome – DeBrincat2:36
xG 0.00–0.18 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Jones – Stillman7:44
xG 0.07–0.14 (33%)attempts 3–12goals 0–1
- Jones – Vlasic9:06
xG 0.31–0.42 (42%)attempts 11–8goals 1–0
- Jones – Vlasic2:29
xG 0.00–0.11 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).