Tue, Apr 12, 2022·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
San Jose Sharks 0, Nashville Predators 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 05 | 08 | 09 | 03 | 025 |
| NSH | 011 | 015 | 014 | 11 | 141 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- OT 3:18NSHRyan JohansenGWGAssists: Mattias Ekholm, Filip Forsberg · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–1
Penalties (11)
- P1 2:03SJSJeffrey Viel: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:03NSHMark Borowiecki: Fighting5 min
- P1 11:17SJSTomas Hertl: Roughing2 min
- P1 11:17NSHMark Borowiecki: Roughing2 min
- P1 11:17NSHMark Borowiecki: Interference2 min
- P1 14:21SJSBrent Burns: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:41SJSTimo Meier: High sticking2 min
- P1 19:41SJSTimo Meier: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:41NSHDante Fabbro: Roughing2 min
- P2 7:27SJSNicolas Meloche: Fighting5 min
- P2 7:27NSHNick Cousins: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bonino won the faceoff against Sissons
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestBonino – Nieto – Gregor3:48
xG 0.10–0.03 (79%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Couture – Meier – Chmelevski3:06
xG 0.09–0.14 (38%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
- Couture – Gregor – Chmelevski3:28
xG 0.05–0.15 (23%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Dahlen – Viel – Reedy3:12
xG 0.10–0.27 (27%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Ferraro4:14
xG 0.22–0.12 (64%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Ferraro9:45
xG 0.56–0.47 (54%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Karlsson3:15
xG 0.21–0.19 (52%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestDuchene – Granlund – Forsberg4:55
xG 0.66–0.16 (81%)attempts 17–2goals 0–0
- Cousins – Kunin – Luff6:53
xG 0.50–0.10 (83%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Duchene – Granlund – Tolvanen8:27
xG 0.55–0.30 (65%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Sissons – Trenin – Jeannot12:30
xG 0.46–0.38 (55%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJosi – Fabbro15:20
xG 1.29–0.44 (75%)attempts 33–12goals 0–0
- Ekholm – Carrier14:32
xG 0.80–0.45 (64%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Josi – Carrier2:38
xG 0.19–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NSH is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NSH − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).