Fri, Apr 29, 2022·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Vancouver Canucks 2, Edmonton Oilers 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 117 | 014 | 17 | 03 | 0 | 241 |
| EDM | 06 | 011 | 214 | 02 | 1 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:31VANJ.T. MillerAssists: Brad Hunt, Conor Garland · Snap, 0.07 xG1–0
- P3 0:31EDMBrett KulakAssists: Kailer Yamamoto · Slap, 0.03 xG1–1
- P3 2:35VANConor GarlandAssists: Quinn Hughes, Luke Schenn · Snap, 0.08 xG2–1
- P3 9:10EDMTyson BarrieAssists: Zack Kassian, Derick Brassard · Snap, 0.04 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. EDM Ryan Nugent-Hopkins stopped
- 2. VAN Elias Pettersson stopped
- 3. EDM Evander Kane stopped
- 4. VAN J.T. Miller stopped
- 5. EDM Kailer Yamamoto stopped
- 6. VAN Brock Boeser stopped
- 7. EDM Derick Brassard stopped
- 8. VAN Vasily Podkolzin stopped
- 9. EDM Tyson Barrie stopped
- 10. VAN Conor Garland stopped
- 11. EDM Devin Shore scored
- 12. VAN Oliver Ekman-Larsson stopped
Penalties (3)
- P1 7:26EDMBrett Kulak: High sticking2 min
- P1 18:19EDMEvander Kane: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 15:05VANAlex Chiasson: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Nugent-Hopkins
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestChiasson – Miller – Garland13:20
xG 1.39–0.44 (76%)attempts 18–13goals 2–1
- Petan – Lammikko – Dries8:52
xG 0.61–0.56 (52%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Boeser – Pettersson – Podkolzin12:20
xG 0.85–0.81 (51%)attempts 17–15goals 0–0
- Richardson – Dickinson – Highmore8:13
xG 0.13–0.44 (22%)attempts 4–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHunt – Dermott15:22
xG 1.19–0.76 (61%)attempts 17–19goals 1–0
- Schenn – Hughes15:31
xG 0.89–0.50 (64%)attempts 15–15goals 0–0
- Myers – Ekman-Larsson15:39
xG 0.42–1.26 (25%)attempts 13–17goals 0–2
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestBrassard – Kassian – Archibald9:17
xG 0.67–0.22 (75%)attempts 11–4goals 1–0
- Hyman – Shore – Puljujarvi5:02
xG 0.30–0.24 (55%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Kane – Puljujarvi – McLeod4:17
xG 0.10–0.18 (36%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Hyman – Shore – Yamamoto4:29
xG 0.12–0.23 (34%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCeci – Kulak12:43
xG 0.81–0.35 (70%)attempts 19–7goals 1–1
- Keith – Ceci3:01
xG 0.07–0.04 (65%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Russell – Barrie15:32
xG 1.16–1.32 (47%)attempts 21–17goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
EDM's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line EDM is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (EDM − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).