Sat, Apr 16, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Los Angeles Kings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 03 | 111 | 08 | 122 |
| LAK | 212 | 018 | 08 | 238 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:41LAKDustin BrownAssists: Blake Lizotte · Snap, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 7:02LAKPhillip DanaultGWGAssists: Viktor Arvidsson, Trevor Moore · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–2
- P2 0:53CBJSean KuralyAssists: Carson Meyer, Gustav Nyquist · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–2
Penalties (11)
- P1 8:18LAKBrendan Lemieux: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:43CBJPatrik Laine: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:31CBJSean Kuraly: Roughing2 min
- P2 7:31LAKPhillip Danault: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:05CBJCole Sillinger: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:05LAKMatt Roy: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:14CBJNick Blankenburg: Slashing2 min
- P3 5:45CBJGustav Nyquist: Interference2 min
- P3 8:07LAKTrevor Moore: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:07CBJGustav Nyquist: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 17:15LAKAlex Iafallo: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Roslovic
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestBjorkstrand – Danforth – Johnson4:46
xG 0.12–0.04 (73%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Nyquist – Roslovic – Laine11:27
xG 0.92–0.85 (52%)attempts 17–13goals 0–2
- Danforth – Bemstrom – Johnson3:54
xG 0.00–0.21 (1%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Voracek – Bjorkstrand – Sillinger4:57
xG 0.09–0.42 (18%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Gavrikov – Blankenburg5:24
xG 0.31–0.27 (54%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Werenski – Peeke15:31
xG 0.91–0.91 (50%)attempts 19–12goals 0–0
- Bean – Boqvist2:52
xG 0.00–0.37 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Athanasiou – Kempe13:12
xG 2.32–1.00 (70%)attempts 15–18goals 0–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore10:59
xG 0.82–0.24 (78%)attempts 11–8goals 1–1
- Brown – Iafallo – Lizotte9:09
xG 0.42–0.09 (82%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Lemieux – Kupari – Kaliyev5:23
xG 0.31–0.01 (96%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Roy14:41
xG 1.74–0.37 (82%)attempts 13–17goals 1–1
- Maatta – Spence15:40
xG 1.62–0.85 (66%)attempts 16–12goals 1–0
- Moverare – Durzi11:59
xG 0.59–0.28 (68%)attempts 11–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).