Sat, Apr 16, 2022·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
New Jersey Devils 3, Seattle Kraken 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 28 | 09 | 18 | 01 | 0 | 326 |
| SEA | 16 | 211 | 07 | 02 | 1 | 426 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:12NJDJesper BrattAssists: Andreas Johnsson, Michael McLeod · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P1 10:49SEAWill BorgenAssists: Victor Rask, Karson Kuhlman · Slap, 0.06 xG1–1
- P1 16:14NJDJesper BoqvistAssists: Pavel Zacha, Janne Kuokkanen · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–1
- P2 15:20SEACarson SoucyAssists: Jared McCann, Yanni Gourde · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
- P2 16:57SEAMatty BeniersPPAssists: Jared McCann, Vince Dunn · Wrist, 0.27 xG2–3
- P3 4:55NJDDamon SeversonAssists: Michael McLeod, Nathan Bastian · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. SEA Ryan Donato scored
- 2. NJD Tomas Tatar stopped
- 3. SEA Matty Beniers stopped
- 4. NJD Jesper Bratt stopped
- 5. SEA Daniel Sprong stopped
- 6. NJD Yegor Sharangovich stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 7:11SEAKarson Kuhlman: High sticking2 min
- P2 0:35NJDTomas Tatar: Slashing2 min
- P2 7:51SEAVince Dunn: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:55SEAJamie Oleksiak: Holding2 min
- P2 16:17NJDKevin Bahl: Hooking2 min · PPG
- OT 3:45NJDPavel Zacha: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Beniers won the faceoff against Mercer
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZacha – Kuokkanen – Boqvist2:09
xG 0.45–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 1–0
- Hischier – Zetterlund – Sharangovich5:12
xG 0.38–0.07 (84%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Kuokkanen – Boqvist – Sharangovich6:24
xG 0.25–0.04 (87%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Tatar – Bastian – McLeod3:39
xG 0.20–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–1goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSubban – Smith12:54
xG 1.03–0.41 (71%)attempts 18–9goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Bahl13:32
xG 0.43–0.17 (72%)attempts 16–6goals 1–1
- Severson – White14:10
xG 0.45–0.32 (58%)attempts 12–15goals 2–1
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – McCann – Beniers3:23
xG 0.19–0.14 (58%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Sheahan – Sprong – Geekie9:04
xG 0.23–0.22 (51%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Gourde – McCann – Lind8:02
xG 0.25–0.41 (37%)attempts 8–5goals 1–1
- Rask – Wennberg – Kuhlman8:08
xG 0.02–0.23 (7%)attempts 2–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Dunn20:14
xG 0.71–0.37 (66%)attempts 22–20goals 0–1
- Soucy – Fleury11:05
xG 0.37–0.49 (43%)attempts 12–10goals 1–1
- Oleksiak – Borgen11:14
xG 0.18–0.58 (24%)attempts 8–9goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).