Sun, Apr 17, 2022·Honda Center, Anaheim
Columbus Blue Jackets 4, Anaheim Ducks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 112 | 210 | 113 | 435 |
| ANA | 310 | 012 | 310 | 632 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:17ANATroy TerryAssists: Ryan Getzlaf · Slap, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 4:07CBJJake BeanAssists: Jack Roslovic, Vladislav Gavrikov · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P1 5:43ANATroy TerryAssists: Kevin Shattenkirk, Cam Fowler · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–2
- P1 7:42ANAGerry MayhewAssists: Trevor Zegras, Derek Grant · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–3
- P2 1:34CBJJake BeanAssists: Adam Boqvist · Snap, 0.06 xG2–3
- P2 10:52CBJSean KuralyAssists: Eric Robinson, Justin Danforth · Tip-in, 0.07 xG3–3
- P3 1:03ANATrevor ZegrasAssists: Derek Grant, Gerry Mayhew · Tip-in, 0.06 xG3–4
- P3 3:28ANACam FowlerGWGAssists: Troy Terry, Ryan Getzlaf · Wrist, 0.02 xG3–5
- P3 7:22CBJCole SillingerAssists: Jakub Voracek, Gustav Nyquist · Tip-in, 0.20 xG4–5
- P3 19:04ANADerek GrantENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.77 xG4–6
Penalties (3)
- P1 9:10ANASam Steel: Hooking2 min
- P1 11:55ANAAndrej Sustr: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:22CBJBrendan Gaunce: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Sillinger
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – Danforth – Robinson11:44
xG 0.41–0.25 (63%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Bjorkstrand – Roslovic – Johnson11:13
xG 0.29–0.36 (45%)attempts 10–9goals 1–1
- Voracek – Nyquist – Sillinger12:04
xG 0.71–0.91 (44%)attempts 9–14goals 1–4
- Gaunce – Bemstrom – Meyer10:12
xG 0.28–0.58 (32%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPeeke – Boqvist2:54
xG 0.53–0.04 (93%)attempts 4–4goals 1–1
- Gavrikov – Boqvist4:24
xG 0.36–0.04 (91%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Bean – Boqvist8:38
xG 0.50–0.39 (56%)attempts 13–8goals 2–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Henrique – Terry16:55
xG 1.22–0.57 (68%)attempts 17–11goals 3–0
- Milano – Aston-Reese – Lundeström6:50
xG 0.05–0.15 (26%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Carrick – Simon – Steel8:46
xG 0.29–0.43 (41%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Grant – Mayhew – Zegras8:17
xG 0.52–0.69 (43%)attempts 9–10goals 2–3
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Fowler18:01
xG 0.82–0.29 (74%)attempts 16–9goals 2–0
- Sustr – Mahura15:29
xG 0.63–0.75 (46%)attempts 15–14goals 0–0
- Vaakanainen – Drysdale13:38
xG 0.76–0.89 (46%)attempts 13–17goals 3–3
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).