Mon, Apr 18, 2022·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Dallas Stars 2, Vancouver Canucks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 90% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 113 | 19 | 08 | 230 |
| VAN | 29 | 217 | 25 | 631 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:28VANConor GarlandAssists: Vasily Podkolzin, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Slap, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 8:12DALRoope HintzPPAssists: Alexander Radulov, Joe Pavelski · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–1
- P1 15:09VANElias PetterssonAssists: Sheldon Dries · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–2
- P2 1:23VANBrock BoeserGWGAssists: Elias Pettersson, Jason Dickinson · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–3
- P2 4:45DALRoope HintzSHAssists: Radek Faksa, Jani Hakanpää · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–3
- P2 10:33VANJason DickinsonAssists: Brock Boeser, Brad Hunt · Tip-in, 0.06 xG2–4
- P3 0:49VANVasily PodkolzinAssists: Quinn Hughes, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–5
- P3 16:59VANElias PetterssonENAssists: Brock Boeser, Jason Dickinson · Wrist, 0.74 xG2–6
Penalties (5)
- P1 7:58VANBrock Boeser: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 3:43DALTyler Seguin: Holding2 min
- P2 17:46DALJamie Benn: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:46VANLuke Schenn: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:06DALAlexander Radulov: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Faksa won the faceoff against Lammikko
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- Radulov – Glendening – Kiviranta2:54
xG 0.16–0.11 (59%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Benn – Seguin – Studenic5:49
xG 0.49–0.54 (47%)attempts 9–7goals 0–1
- Faksa – Raffl – Gurianov4:35
xG 0.10–0.16 (39%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Pavelski – Hintz – Robertson11:14
xG 0.18–0.37 (32%)attempts 7–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Suter – Heiskanen18:05
xG 0.74–0.77 (49%)attempts 20–15goals 0–0
- Sekera – Hakanpää11:04
xG 0.22–0.46 (33%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
- Klingberg – Hanley17:23
xG 0.49–0.92 (35%)attempts 16–16goals 0–3
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestRichardson – Petan – Dries6:19
xG 0.41–0.08 (84%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Miller – Garland – Podkolzin14:44
xG 0.65–0.33 (67%)attempts 12–8goals 2–0
- Lammikko – Highmore – Lockwood10:35
xG 0.46–0.20 (70%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Boeser – Pettersson11:47
xG 0.35–0.78 (31%)attempts 8–18goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestHunt – Dermott12:19
xG 0.89–0.18 (83%)attempts 15–9goals 1–0
- Myers – Ekman-Larsson17:23
xG 0.72–0.53 (58%)attempts 14–15goals 1–0
- Hunt – Hughes2:12
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it DAL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 90% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − DAL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).