Tue, Apr 19, 2022·Centre Bell, Montreal
Minnesota Wild 2, Montréal Canadiens 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 18 | 07 | 115 | 230 |
| MTL | 08 | 09 | 09 | 026 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:57MINKevin FialaPPGWGAssists: Mats Zuccarello, Kirill Kaprizov · Snap, 0.18 xG1–0
- P3 2:29MINMatt BoldyAssists: Kevin Fiala, Jordie Benn · Wrist, 0.23 xG2–0
Penalties (7)
- P1 6:08MTLBrendan Gallagher: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 10:05MINJonas Brodin: Slashing2 min
- P1 17:07MINDmitry Kulikov: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:50MTLChris Wideman: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:53MINKevin Fiala: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:46MTLJordan Harris: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 17:50MTLJeff Petry: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Eriksson Ek won the faceoff against Dvorak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestGaudreau – Fiala – Boldy10:30
xG 1.24–0.48 (72%)attempts 12–16goals 1–0
- Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov14:19
xG 0.87–0.46 (66%)attempts 19–12goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Bjugstad – Eriksson Ek11:11
xG 0.38–0.48 (44%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Duhaime – Dewar – Chaffee6:41
xG 0.13–0.31 (30%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKulikov – Brodin16:45
xG 1.50–0.13 (92%)attempts 24–8goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Benn14:22
xG 1.02–0.52 (66%)attempts 14–13goals 1–0
- Spurgeon – Middleton12:36
xG 0.19–1.04 (16%)attempts 10–17goals 0–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestHoffman – Gallagher – Dvorak9:31
xG 0.35–0.07 (84%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Perreault – Pitlick – Dauphin2:39
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Perreault – Anderson – Dauphin2:39
xG 0.17–0.18 (49%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Anderson – Suzuki – Caufield12:20
xG 0.59–0.63 (48%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Petry – Harris3:31
xG 0.07–0.10 (43%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Petry – Edmundson11:26
xG 0.72–0.81 (47%)attempts 15–17goals 0–0
- Savard – Romanov15:59
xG 0.36–0.87 (29%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).