Tue, Apr 19, 2022·Honda Center, Anaheim
Los Angeles Kings 2, Anaheim Ducks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 010 | 112 | 16 | 228 |
| ANA | 07 | 117 | 06 | 130 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 0:27LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
- P2 5:36ANAAdam HenriquePPAssists: Troy Terry, Cam Fowler · Backhand, 0.18 xG1–1
- P3 0:32LAKPhillip DanaultGWGAssists: Viktor Arvidsson, Matt Roy · Wrist, 0.55 xG2–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:19ANACam Fowler: Hooking2 min
- P2 3:40LAKRasmus Kupari: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 6:32ANAMaxime Comtois: Roughing2 min
- P2 6:32LAKMatt Roy: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:53LAKAlexander Edler: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:07LAKAlexander Edler: Slashing2 min
- P3 5:37LAKJonathan Quick: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Athanasiou – Kempe9:24
xG 0.57–0.02 (96%)attempts 13–3goals 1–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore10:04
xG 0.93–0.51 (64%)attempts 10–10goals 1–0
- Brown – Iafallo – Lizotte8:46
xG 0.42–0.22 (66%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Lemieux – Kupari – Kaliyev6:19
xG 0.08–0.32 (20%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Roy14:46
xG 1.22–0.39 (76%)attempts 19–5goals 1–0
- Moverare – Durzi12:06
xG 0.59–0.19 (76%)attempts 11–12goals 1–0
- Maatta – Spence14:16
xG 0.30–0.62 (33%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGrant – Mayhew – Zegras8:40
xG 0.49–0.39 (55%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Milano – Steel – Comtois8:03
xG 0.24–0.19 (56%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Simon – Aston-Reese – Lundeström9:27
xG 0.12–0.47 (21%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Henrique – Terry11:05
xG 0.26–0.98 (21%)attempts 3–13goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestSustr – Benoit11:32
xG 0.43–0.26 (62%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Sustr – Mahura2:07
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Fowler – Drysdale15:15
xG 0.61–0.65 (49%)attempts 12–19goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).