Thu, Apr 21, 2022·Centre Bell, Montreal
Philadelphia Flyers 6, Montréal Canadiens 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 27 | 219 | 28 | 634 |
| MTL | 19 | 117 | 18 | 334 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:43PHIJames van RiemsdykAssists: Bobby Brink · Wrist, 0.23 xG1–0
- P1 14:29PHIIvan ProvorovAssists: James van Riemsdyk, Bobby Brink · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–0
- P1 15:31MTLMike HoffmanAssists: Brendan Gallagher, Christian Dvorak · Wrist, 0.22 xG2–1
- P2 5:28MTLJake EvansAssists: Jeff Petry, Rem Pitlick · Tip-in, 0.05 xG2–2
- P2 6:49PHIOskar LindblomAssists: Zack MacEwen, Linus Hogberg · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–2
- P2 13:02PHITravis KonecnyGWGAssists: Ronnie Attard, Ivan Provorov · Wrist, 0.05 xG4–2
- P3 15:36PHIMorgan FrostAssists: Noah Cates · Wrist, 0.22 xG5–2
- P3 16:56PHIJames van RiemsdykUnassisted · Wrist, 0.06 xG6–2
- P3 17:33MTLCole CaufieldAssists: Chris Wideman, Nick Suzuki · Wrist, 0.02 xG6–3
Penalties (6)
- P1 9:49MTLKale Clague: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:01PHITravis Sanheim: Elbowing2 min
- P2 1:36MTLJeff Petry: Interference2 min
- P2 18:56MTLBrendan Gallagher: Slashing2 min
- P2 18:56PHITravis Konecny: Slashing2 min
- P3 11:35MTLRem Pitlick: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Evans won the faceoff against Thompson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestvan Riemsdyk – Farabee – Brink9:03
xG 0.85–0.25 (77%)attempts 10–7goals 2–0
- Tippett – Frost – Cates9:22
xG 0.49–0.29 (63%)attempts 7–10goals 1–1
- Thompson – Lindblom – MacEwen9:04
xG 0.15–0.21 (42%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
- Hayes – Laughton – Konecny12:16
xG 0.24–0.77 (24%)attempts 10–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestProvorov – Attard11:26
xG 0.99–0.29 (77%)attempts 15–11goals 4–0
- Sanheim – Zamula4:38
xG 0.28–0.09 (75%)attempts 6–2goals 1–0
- Provorov – Zamula5:48
xG 0.19–0.07 (74%)attempts 6–2goals 0–1
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestPerreault – Pitlick – Poehling7:06
xG 0.80–0.16 (83%)attempts 13–7goals 0–1
- Anderson – Suzuki – Caufield13:20
xG 0.46–0.30 (60%)attempts 15–5goals 1–0
- Evans – Pitlick – Harvey-Pinard10:27
xG 0.28–0.51 (35%)attempts 6–12goals 1–1
- Hoffman – Gallagher – Dvorak10:22
xG 0.65–1.10 (37%)attempts 9–16goals 1–3
Defence pairs
- bestPetry – Edmundson15:57
xG 1.25–0.30 (81%)attempts 20–14goals 2–0
- Wideman – Clague14:18
xG 0.31–0.95 (25%)attempts 12–19goals 1–4
- Savard – Romanov14:45
xG 0.29–0.93 (24%)attempts 8–14goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).