Thu, Apr 21, 2022·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Vancouver Canucks 3, Minnesota Wild 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 010 | 310 | 04 | 324 |
| MIN | 08 | 39 | 315 | 632 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 4:53MINKevin FialaAssists: Frederick Gaudreau, Matt Boldy · Snap, 0.06 xG0–1
- P2 5:31VANElias PetterssonAssists: Conor Garland, Brock Boeser · Snap, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 7:10MINJared SpurgeonAssists: Brandon Duhaime, Jake Middleton · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–2
- P2 9:22VANMatthew HighmoreUnassisted · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–2
- P2 16:09VANElias PetterssonAssists: Conor Garland, Travis Dermott · Wrist, 0.16 xG3–2
- P2 18:36MINMats ZuccarelloAssists: Kirill Kaprizov, Jon Merrill · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–3
- P3 12:17MINKevin FialaGWGAssists: Jonas Brodin, Frederick Gaudreau · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–4
- P3 18:05MINKirill KaprizovAssists: Ryan Hartman, Mats Zuccarello · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–5
- P3 18:47MINRyan HartmanENAssists: Kirill Kaprizov, Mats Zuccarello · Wrist, 0.74 xG3–6
Penalties (8)
- P1 18:42VANMatthew Highmore: Interference2 min
- P1 18:46MINKirill Kaprizov: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 17:01VANLuke Schenn: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:01MINNicolas Deslauriers: Fighting5 min
- P3 2:51VANVasily Podkolzin: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 8:15VANTyler Myers: High sticking2 min
- P3 10:09VANOliver Ekman-Larsson: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:09MINRyan Hartman: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gaudreau won the faceoff against Lammikko
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBoeser – Garland – Pettersson9:26
xG 0.67–0.16 (81%)attempts 15–4goals 2–1
- Chiasson – Miller – Podkolzin11:13
xG 0.79–0.57 (58%)attempts 10–10goals 0–2
- Lammikko – Highmore – Lockwood10:33
xG 0.15–0.13 (53%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Boeser – Pettersson2:00
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHunt – Dermott12:00
xG 0.99–0.31 (76%)attempts 15–6goals 2–0
- Schenn – Hughes13:09
xG 0.39–0.21 (65%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Dermott – Hughes3:42
xG 0.17–0.14 (55%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestDuhaime – Dewar – Chaffee5:45
xG 0.17–0.07 (71%)attempts 5–2goals 1–0
- Deslauriers – Bjugstad – Eriksson Ek8:20
xG 0.43–0.51 (46%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
- Gaudreau – Fiala – Boldy12:15
xG 0.42–0.64 (39%)attempts 9–10goals 2–1
- Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov14:08
xG 0.32–0.55 (37%)attempts 9–11goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestGoligoski – Brodin15:31
xG 0.82–0.41 (67%)attempts 15–10goals 1–0
- Kulikov – Merrill17:12
xG 0.38–0.77 (33%)attempts 12–14goals 1–2
- Spurgeon – Middleton14:37
xG 0.38–0.84 (31%)attempts 13–13goals 3–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).