Thu, Apr 21, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Chicago Blackhawks 1, Los Angeles Kings 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 06 | 15 | 05 | 116 |
| LAK | 117 | 111 | 28 | 436 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:58LAKPhillip DanaultPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Sean Durzi · Backhand, 0.15 xG0–1
- P2 9:16LAKAnze KopitarGWGAssists: Alexander Edler, Adrian Kempe · Tip-in, 0.07 xG0–2
- P2 15:13CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Dylan Strome, Alex DeBrincat · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
- P3 11:45LAKAndreas AthanasiouUnassisted · Wrist, 0.28 xG1–3
- P3 12:00LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Viktor Arvidsson, Alexander Edler · Backhand, 0.07 xG1–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 4:55CHIDominik Kubalik: Hooking2 min
- P1 10:38CHISeth Jones: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 4:30LAKAndreas Athanasiou: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 4:30CHIJonathan Toews: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:07LAKAlexander Edler: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 15:13LAKArthur Kaliyev: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P3 0:48CHITaylor Raddysh: Slashing2 min
- P3 4:18LAKAdrian Kempe: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lafferty won the faceoff against Lizotte
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestToews – Kubalik – Borgstrom3:00
xG 0.56–0.12 (83%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Kane – DeBrincat – Kurashev3:37
xG 0.12–0.04 (76%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Johnson – Katchouk – Johnson2:21
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Lafferty – Raddysh – Kurashev5:38
xG 0.12–0.20 (37%)attempts 4–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMcCabe – Vlasic4:06
xG 0.49–0.35 (58%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
- de Haan – Jones2:55
xG 0.09–0.14 (39%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- de Haan – Vlasic3:06
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Athanasiou – Kempe11:47
xG 0.95–0.57 (63%)attempts 13–8goals 2–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore9:32
xG 0.38–0.07 (84%)attempts 9–4goals 1–0
- Grundstrom – Kaliyev – Byfield8:16
xG 0.26–0.09 (73%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Brown – Iafallo – Lizotte9:22
xG 0.22–0.19 (54%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Roy16:03
xG 0.72–0.20 (79%)attempts 24–7goals 2–0
- Maatta – Spence14:07
xG 0.43–0.20 (69%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Moverare – Durzi13:40
xG 0.59–0.57 (51%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).