Thu, Apr 21, 2022·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
St. Louis Blues 3, San Jose Sharks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 86% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 111 | 19 | 18 | 328 |
| SJS | 19 | 05 | 07 | 121 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:05SJSNoah GregorAssists: Thomas Bordeleau, Rudolfs Balcers · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 5:18STLDakota JoshuaAssists: Logan Brown, Nathan Walker · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P2 0:31STLRobert ThomasPPGWGAssists: Vladimir Tarasenko, Pavel Buchnevich · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–1
- P3 19:48STLPavel BuchnevichENAssists: Brayden Schenn · Backhand, 0.78 xG3–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 11:01SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:45SJSTimo Meier: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 2:32SJSMatt Nieto: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:30STLJordan Kyrou: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:00SJSTomas Hertl: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 10:50STLVladimir Tarasenko: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 10:50SJSJeffrey Viel: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 13:51SJSScott Reedy: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bordeleau won the faceoff against Thomas
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestWalker – Joshua – Brown8:28
xG 0.29–0.01 (97%)attempts 5–4goals 1–0
- Schenn – Barbashev – Kyrou9:50
xG 0.29–0.22 (57%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Perron – O'Reilly – Saad9:38
xG 0.16–0.12 (56%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Tarasenko – Buchnevich – Thomas9:08
xG 0.15–0.25 (38%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestScandella – Parayko15:01
xG 0.46–0.09 (84%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Bortuzzo – Rosen9:08
xG 0.26–0.01 (95%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Leddy – Faulk14:12
xG 0.20–0.48 (29%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestBonino – Couture – Nieto6:17
xG 0.24–0.04 (85%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Hertl – Meier – Dahlen8:03
xG 0.04–0.08 (34%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Meier – Chmelevski – Reedy2:07
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Viel – Chmelevski – Reedy4:30
xG 0.00–0.15 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Burns – Ferraro11:31
xG 0.26–0.24 (52%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Vlasic – Merkley9:01
xG 0.15–0.23 (40%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Megna – Meloche14:02
xG 0.12–0.41 (22%)attempts 5–12goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 86% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).