Fri, Apr 22, 2022·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Seattle Kraken 3, Minnesota Wild 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 86% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 27 | 012 | 19 | 328 |
| MIN | 110 | 514 | 011 | 635 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:16SEADaniel SprongAssists: Joonas Donskoi · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–0
- P1 10:20SEAYanni GourdeAssists: Karson Kuhlman, Jared McCann · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–0
- P1 16:01MINJoel Eriksson EkPPAssists: Kirill Kaprizov, Kevin Fiala · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–1
- P2 2:04MINJoel Eriksson EkAssists: Kevin Fiala, Matt Boldy · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–2
- P2 6:52MINKirill KaprizovPPAssists: Kevin Fiala, Joel Eriksson Ek · Tip-in, 0.09 xG2–3
- P2 10:22MINRyan HartmanGWGAssists: Kirill Kaprizov · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–4
- P2 12:03MINMats ZuccarelloPPAssists: Kevin Fiala, Kirill Kaprizov · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–5
- P2 14:29MINNicolas DeslauriersAssists: Kevin Fiala, Tyson Jost · Wrist, 0.23 xG2–6
- P3 5:16SEAMatty BeniersPPAssists: Vince Dunn, Jared McCann · Wrist, 0.21 xG3–6
Penalties (9)
- P1 14:10SEAAlexander Wennberg: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 6:07SEAJordan Eberle: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 10:31SEAWill Borgen: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 10:31MINBrandon Duhaime: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:12SEAVince Dunn: Hooking2 min
- P3 0:35MINRyan Hartman: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:47MINRyan Hartman: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 10:02SEAAdam Larsson: Holding2 min
- P3 18:02SEAJared McCann: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hartman won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestSheahan – Donskoi – Sprong5:39
xG 0.45–0.34 (57%)attempts 7–5goals 1–0
- Rask – Wennberg – Lind9:48
xG 0.25–0.33 (43%)attempts 13–5goals 0–1
- Eberle – Donato – Beniers10:49
xG 0.19–0.66 (22%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
- Gourde – McCann – Kuhlman11:37
xG 0.35–0.86 (29%)attempts 10–11goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Oleksiak – Borgen8:03
xG 0.50–0.47 (52%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Soucy – Borgen4:00
xG 0.07–0.08 (46%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Soucy – Fleury10:15
xG 0.23–0.38 (38%)attempts 10–5goals 0–1
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestBjugstad – Eriksson Ek – Dewar9:06
xG 0.89–0.34 (72%)attempts 9–6goals 0–1
- Gaudreau – Fiala – Boldy9:54
xG 0.54–0.12 (82%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Hartman – Kaprizov2:59
xG 0.17–0.06 (73%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov8:28
xG 0.21–0.37 (36%)attempts 3–12goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestBenn – Brodin12:36
xG 1.13–0.19 (86%)attempts 10–11goals 3–1
- Spurgeon – Middleton16:09
xG 0.96–0.64 (60%)attempts 14–14goals 0–1
- Kulikov – Brodin2:48
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 86% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).