Sat, Apr 23, 2022·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Seattle Kraken 2, Dallas Stars 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 29 | 09 | 014 | 232 |
| DAL | 012 | 314 | 05 | 331 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:50SEARiley SheahanAssists: Adam Larsson, Jamie Oleksiak · Wrist, 0.29 xG1–0
- P1 18:33SEAYanni GourdeAssists: Derrick Pouliot, Kole Lind · Tip-in, 0.09 xG2–0
- P2 6:53DALRoope HintzAssists: Jason Robertson, Joe Pavelski · Tip-in, 0.15 xG2–1
- P2 8:58DALRoope HintzPPAssists: Jason Robertson, Jake Oettinger · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–2
- P2 11:34DALVladislav NamestnikovGWGAssists: Denis Gurianov · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–3
Penalties (5)
- P1 4:48DALJohn Klingberg: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:29SEADerrick Pouliot: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P3 3:11SEARiley Sheahan: Slashing2 min
- P3 11:10SEAKole Lind: Roughing2 min
- P3 11:10DALRyan Suter: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Seguin won the faceoff against Gourde
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestSheahan – Donskoi – Geekie7:46
xG 0.53–0.19 (74%)attempts 8–8goals 1–0
- Rask – Wennberg – Lind10:43
xG 0.37–0.22 (63%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Gourde – McCann – Kuhlman10:58
xG 0.38–0.71 (35%)attempts 12–14goals 0–1
- Eberle – Donato – Beniers11:06
xG 0.38–0.82 (32%)attempts 9–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Soucy11:30
xG 0.41–0.28 (59%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
- Larsson – Soucy2:04
xG 0.03–0.05 (40%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Larsson – Borgen2:08
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestPavelski – Hintz – Robertson12:26
xG 0.92–0.11 (90%)attempts 23–7goals 1–0
- Benn – Seguin – Raffl11:06
xG 0.33–0.32 (51%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
- Namestnikov – Gurianov – Karlstrom3:26
xG 0.13–0.13 (51%)attempts 2–2goals 1–0
- Glendening – Faksa – Kiviranta12:13
xG 0.48–0.52 (48%)attempts 10–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHakanpää – Lindell7:24
xG 0.56–0.13 (81%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
- Klingberg – Lindell10:32
xG 0.61–0.33 (65%)attempts 8–14goals 0–1
- Klingberg – Harley8:31
xG 0.23–0.06 (79%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DAL − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).