Sat, Apr 23, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Anaheim Ducks 2, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 09 | 25 | 07 | 221 |
| LAK | 115 | 113 | 212 | 440 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:04LAKArthur KaliyevAssists: Quinton Byfield, Carl Grundstrom · Snap, 0.23 xG0–1
- P2 3:34ANATrevor ZegrasPPAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Sonny Milano · Snap, 0.08 xG1–1
- P2 9:06ANAGerry MayhewAssists: Josh Mahura · Wrist, 0.00 xG2–1
- P2 11:33LAKMatt RoyAssists: Arthur Kaliyev, Anze Kopitar · Slap, 0.04 xG2–2
- P3 6:21LAKAlexander EdlerGWGAssists: Quinton Byfield · Slap, 0.03 xG2–3
- P3 19:35LAKAlex IafalloENAssists: Adrian Kempe, Anze Kopitar · Backhand, 0.67 xG2–4
Penalties (14)
- P1 15:39ANAZachary Aston-Reese: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:15ANARyan Getzlaf: High sticking2 min
- P2 2:52LAKQuinton Byfield: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 5:38ANADominik Simon: Slashing2 min
- P2 14:11ANAKevin Shattenkirk: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:43LAKCarl Grundstrom: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 11:24LAKCarl Grundstrom: Roughing2 min
- P3 11:24LAKCarl Grundstrom: Slashing2 min
- P3 11:24ANATrevor Zegras: Cross checking2 min
- P3 11:24ANADominik Simon: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:50ANAAdam Henrique: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 19:54LAKArthur Kaliyev: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 19:54LAKArthur Kaliyev: Cross checking5 min
- P3 19:54ANAJosh Mahura: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestSimon – Aston-Reese – Lundeström6:11
xG 0.78–0.19 (80%)attempts 9–5goals 0–1
- Steel – Mayhew – Comtois2:14
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Milano – Mayhew – Zegras3:20
xG 0.01–0.13 (10%)attempts 2–3goals 1–0
- Milano – Steel – Comtois5:29
xG 0.07–0.44 (14%)attempts 2–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Mahura – Drysdale2:17
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Sustr – Mahura9:49
xG 0.57–0.68 (46%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Vaakanainen – Drysdale13:34
xG 0.20–0.53 (28%)attempts 7–13goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Athanasiou – Kempe11:31
xG 0.86–0.48 (64%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Grundstrom – Kaliyev – Byfield6:50
xG 0.63–0.34 (65%)attempts 8–9goals 2–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore11:30
xG 0.57–0.30 (66%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Brown – Iafallo – Lizotte8:58
xG 0.21–0.17 (55%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Roy16:09
xG 1.23–0.29 (81%)attempts 20–10goals 2–0
- Maatta – Spence15:28
xG 0.54–0.33 (62%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Moverare – Durzi10:19
xG 0.39–0.33 (54%)attempts 5–7goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).