Tue, Apr 26, 2022·TD Garden, Boston
Florida Panthers 2, Boston Bruins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 88% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 211 | 07 | 03 | 221 |
| BOS | 213 | 19 | 116 | 438 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:00FLAGustav ForslingUnassisted · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P1 16:18BOSErik HaulaAssists: David Pastrnak, Taylor Hall · Snap, 0.13 xG1–1
- P1 16:24BOSTaylor HallAssists: David Pastrnak · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–2
- P1 19:59FLASam ReinhartPPAssists: Claude Giroux, Anthony Duclair · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–2
- P2 4:59BOSJake DeBruskGWGAssists: Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.29 xG2–3
- P3 16:55BOSBrad MarchandENAssists: Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.73 xG2–4
Penalties (9)
- P1 5:41BOSErik Haula: Cross checking2 min
- P1 18:22FLAJoe Thornton: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:22BOSTomas Nosek: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 18:22BOSDerek Forbort: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:22FLAPatric Hornqvist: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:50BOSBrandon Carlo: Slashing2 min
- P2 11:49FLAJoe Thornton: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:46FLAGustav Forsling: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 8:49FLASam Bennett: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Acciari won the faceoff against Coyle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- Reinhart – Acciari – Lundell4:01
xG 0.06–0.02 (76%)attempts 3–2goals 1–0
- Huberdeau – Duclair – Bennett4:38
xG 0.32–0.37 (47%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Huberdeau – Duclair – Barkov2:56
xG 0.12–0.18 (41%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Giroux – Verhaeghe – Barkov5:16
xG 0.21–0.29 (42%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Chiarot – Gudas2:00
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Hagg – Montour3:13
xG 0.08–0.09 (45%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Chiarot – Weegar2:09
xG 0.04–0.07 (35%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk11:33
xG 1.26–0.20 (86%)attempts 21–6goals 1–0
- Smith – Coyle – Frederic10:13
xG 0.45–0.13 (78%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Haula – Hall – Pastrnak11:41
xG 0.58–0.36 (61%)attempts 11–7goals 2–0
- Foligno – Lazar – Nosek8:28
xG 0.27–0.22 (55%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – McAvoy19:12
xG 1.40–0.59 (70%)attempts 23–15goals 1–0
- Forbort – Clifton11:09
xG 0.84–0.06 (93%)attempts 13–5goals 2–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo13:13
xG 0.41–0.17 (71%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 88% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).