Tue, Apr 26, 2022·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Anaheim Ducks 5, San Jose Sharks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 17 | 210 | 214 | 531 |
| SJS | 017 | 210 | 06 | 233 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:05ANATrevor ZegrasPPAssists: Adam Henrique · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–0
- P2 5:26ANAMaxime ComtoisAssists: Kevin Shattenkirk, Simon Benoit · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–0
- P2 6:22ANASonny MilanoGWGAssists: Troy Terry, Dominik Simon · Backhand, 0.05 xG3–0
- P2 15:32SJSBrent BurnsPPAssists: Logan Couture, Thomas Bordeleau · Slap, 0.06 xG3–1
- P2 18:36SJSScott ReedyAssists: Jaycob Megna, Sasha Chmelevski · Tip-in, 0.12 xG3–2
- P3 10:47ANAJosh MahuraAssists: Sonny Milano, Maxime Comtois · Wrist, 0.09 xG4–2
- P3 19:18ANAZachary Aston-ReeseENAssists: Anthony Stolarz · Wrist, 0.66 xG5–2
Penalties (7)
- P1 3:50SJSNick Bonino: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 3:21ANAUrho Vaakanainen: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:05ANAZachary Aston-Reese: Slashing2 min
- P2 14:19ANAUrho Vaakanainen: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 4:01ANAHunter Drew: Fighting5 min
- P3 4:01SJSJonah Gadjovich: Fighting5 min
- P3 5:04SJSJaycob Megna: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lundeström won the faceoff against Bordeleau
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestSteel – Lettieri – Comtois7:23
xG 0.28–0.15 (64%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Robinson – Milano – Zegras5:16
xG 0.33–0.32 (50%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Henrique – Simon – Terry12:10
xG 0.42–0.58 (42%)attempts 12–17goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVaakanainen – Drysdale13:12
xG 0.83–0.43 (66%)attempts 12–14goals 1–0
- Sustr – Benoit12:20
xG 0.73–0.47 (61%)attempts 16–15goals 0–0
- Shattenkirk – Mahura11:10
xG 0.20–0.77 (20%)attempts 5–16goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestBalcers – Gregor – Bordeleau9:58
xG 0.57–0.19 (75%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Bonino – Couture – Nieto9:38
xG 0.46–0.38 (55%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
- Hertl – Meier – Barabanov12:59
xG 0.62–0.59 (51%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Gadjovich – Chmelevski – Reedy6:40
xG 0.19–0.45 (30%)attempts 4–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Ferraro14:03
xG 1.07–0.69 (61%)attempts 23–13goals 0–2
- Vlasic – Merkley13:04
xG 0.35–0.29 (55%)attempts 15–10goals 0–0
- Megna – Meloche15:06
xG 0.60–0.78 (44%)attempts 16–15goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).