Wed, Apr 27, 2022·United Center, Chicago
Vegas Golden Knights 3, Chicago Blackhawks 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 115 | 29 | 014 | 02 | 0 | 340 |
| CHI | 216 | 111 | 08 | 05 | 1 | 440 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:01CHITaylor RaddyshAssists: Sam Lafferty · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 17:39VGKMichael AmadioAssists: Shea Theodore, Chandler Stephenson · Slap, 0.06 xG1–1
- P1 19:57CHITaylor RaddyshAssists: Sam Lafferty, Philipp Kurashev · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–2
- P2 3:57VGKAlec MartinezAssists: Chandler Stephenson · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–2
- P2 5:03CHICaleb JonesUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–3
- P2 17:12VGKMax PaciorettyAssists: Brayden McNabb, Chandler Stephenson · Tip-in, 0.08 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
- 2. VGK Mark Stone stopped
- 3. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 4. VGK Jack Eichel stopped
- 5. CHI Alex DeBrincat stopped
- 6. VGK Shea Theodore stopped
- 7. CHI Philipp Kurashev stopped
- 8. VGK Chandler Stephenson stopped
- 9. CHI Dylan Strome stopped
- 10. VGK Max Pacioretty stopped
- 11. CHI Taylor Raddysh stopped
- 12. VGK Jonathan Marchessault stopped
- 13. CHI Tyler Johnson scored
- 14. VGK Michael Amadio stopped
Penalties (3)
- P2 5:14CHICaleb Jones: Holding2 min
- P2 9:36VGKBrayden McNabb: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:35VGKMichael Amadio: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Stephenson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestDadonov – Eichel – Roy4:18
xG 0.13–0.08 (63%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Dadonov – Carrier – Roy6:04
xG 0.33–0.37 (47%)attempts 16–3goals 0–1
- Karlsson – Marchessault – Carrier3:38
xG 0.12–0.17 (41%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Janmark – Amadio – Eichel4:25
xG 0.03–0.08 (28%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- McNabb – Whitecloud3:47
xG 0.14–0.09 (60%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Theodore – Coghlan2:26
xG 0.03–0.10 (21%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- McNabb – Theodore12:31
xG 0.41–0.71 (37%)attempts 14–15goals 1–2
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestLafferty – Raddysh – Kurashev10:40
xG 1.11–0.39 (74%)attempts 13–14goals 2–0
- Toews – Johnson – Kubalik12:49
xG 0.89–0.49 (64%)attempts 17–15goals 0–1
- Katchouk – Borgstrom – Johnson3:58
xG 0.06–0.10 (36%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Kane – Strome – DeBrincat15:54
xG 0.52–0.59 (47%)attempts 14–17goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Vlasic18:23
xG 1.39–0.32 (81%)attempts 20–14goals 1–1
- Jones – Stillman10:01
xG 0.46–0.49 (48%)attempts 7–18goals 1–1
- Jones – Stillman2:40
xG 0.11–0.15 (43%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it VGK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − VGK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).