Wed, Apr 27, 2022·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Philadelphia Flyers 0, Winnipeg Jets 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 09 | 010 | 016 | 035 |
| WPG | 18 | 211 | 18 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:23WPGPierre-Luc DuboisPPGWGAssists: Kyle Connor, Josh Morrissey · Wrist, 0.22 xG0–1
- P2 7:33WPGNikolaj EhlersPPAssists: Kyle Connor, Blake Wheeler · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–2
- P2 15:15WPGBlake WheelerAssists: Nikolaj Ehlers · Tip-in, 0.14 xG0–3
- P3 19:22WPGKyle ConnorENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.78 xG0–4
Penalties (9)
- P1 5:13PHIZack MacEwen: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P1 15:46WPGDylan Samberg: High sticking2 min
- P2 1:28PHITravis Konecny: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:52PHIRonnie Attard: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 5:59PHIIvan Provorov: High sticking2 min
- P2 12:09WPGZachary Sanford: Slashing2 min
- P2 19:37WPGJansen Harkins: Tripping2 min
- P3 14:44PHINate Thompson: Slashing2 min
- P3 17:20WPGJosh Morrissey: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thompson won the faceoff against Lowry
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestvan Riemsdyk – Laughton – Konecny9:10
xG 0.51–0.36 (59%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Tippett – Frost – Cates8:36
xG 0.19–0.20 (50%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Hayes – Farabee – Brink6:43
xG 0.08–0.23 (26%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Thompson – Lindblom – MacEwen8:54
xG 0.13–0.37 (26%)attempts 3–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestYandle – Zamula10:34
xG 0.85–0.56 (60%)attempts 9–10goals 0–1
- Provorov – Attard15:10
xG 0.26–0.31 (45%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
- Sanheim – Hogberg12:06
xG 0.38–0.47 (44%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestConnor – Harkins – Dubois10:08
xG 0.69–0.27 (72%)attempts 9–14goals 0–0
- Lowry – Sanford – Appleton7:06
xG 0.19–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Toninato – Svechnikov – Barron7:49
xG 0.22–0.11 (68%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Stastny – Ehlers10:32
xG 0.71–0.64 (53%)attempts 12–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestDeMelo – Morrissey13:33
xG 0.87–0.34 (72%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
- Dillon – Samberg2:43
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Dillon – Schmidt12:07
xG 0.43–0.30 (59%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).