Wed, Apr 27, 2022·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Los Angeles Kings 5, Seattle Kraken 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 02 | 317 | 29 | 528 |
| SEA | 112 | 211 | 017 | 340 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 18:59SEAJared McCannAssists: Yanni Gourde · Slap, 0.08 xG0–1
- P2 2:24SEARyan DonatoAssists: Jordan Eberle, Carson Soucy · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–2
- P2 10:11LAKGabriel VilardiAssists: Blake Lizotte, Jacob Moverare · Slap, 0.11 xG1–2
- P2 13:41LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Viktor Arvidsson, Andreas Athanasiou · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–2
- P2 14:29SEAJordan EberleAssists: Matty Beniers, Ryan Donato · Snap, 0.13 xG2–3
- P2 17:15LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Matt Roy, Gabriel Vilardi · Tip-in, 0.08 xG3–3
- P3 2:39LAKLias AnderssonGWGAssists: Brendan Lemieux · Wrist, 0.10 xG4–3
- P3 18:54LAKAndreas AthanasiouENAssists: Gabriel Vilardi, Mikey Anderson · Wrist, 0.78 xG5–3
Penalties (5)
- P1 6:30SEAAlexander Wennberg: Tripping2 min
- P1 9:26LAKCarl Grundstrom: Interference2 min
- P2 18:12LAKMikey Anderson: Holding2 min
- P3 11:08LAKGabriel Vilardi: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 13:50LAKPhillip Danault: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sheahan won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestLemieux – Andersson – Kupari6:40
xG 0.81–0.46 (64%)attempts 9–10goals 1–2
- Grundstrom – Kaliyev – Byfield9:52
xG 0.27–0.29 (48%)attempts 12–9goals 0–1
- Athanasiou – Vilardi – Lizotte10:19
xG 0.45–0.55 (45%)attempts 12–17goals 1–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore11:10
xG 0.04–0.84 (4%)attempts 7–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMoverare – Durzi10:47
xG 1.03–0.29 (78%)attempts 14–11goals 2–1
- Roy – Anderson18:08
xG 0.44–0.93 (32%)attempts 14–26goals 2–2
- Bjornfot – Spence15:21
xG 0.28–1.25 (18%)attempts 15–21goals 0–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestRask – Wennberg – Sprong8:57
xG 0.66–0.20 (77%)attempts 13–6goals 0–1
- Sheahan – Donskoi – Geekie12:07
xG 0.54–0.16 (77%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Eberle – Donato – Beniers8:55
xG 0.39–0.51 (44%)attempts 10–12goals 2–2
- Gourde – McCann – Kuhlman6:39
xG 0.57–0.74 (43%)attempts 12–9goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestBorgen – Cholowski13:35
xG 0.65–0.38 (63%)attempts 21–13goals 1–0
- Larsson – Oleksiak16:41
xG 1.30–1.08 (54%)attempts 24–21goals 1–2
- Soucy – Fleury10:14
xG 0.42–0.24 (63%)attempts 10–8goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).