Wed, Oct 12, 2022·Honda Center, Anaheim
Seattle Kraken 4, Anaheim Ducks 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 120 | 213 | 114 | 01 | 448 |
| ANA | 110 | 18 | 28 | 11 | 527 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:51ANATroy TerryAssists: Mason McTavish, Ryan Strome · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 10:13SEAJared McCannPPAssists: Matty Beniers, Justin Schultz · Snap, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 0:38SEAAndre BurakovskyPPAssists: Vince Dunn · Snap, 0.13 xG2–1
- P2 6:28SEAOliver BjorkstrandPPAssists: Justin Schultz, Ryan Donato · Snap, 0.20 xG3–1
- P2 18:24ANARyan StromePPAssists: Mason McTavish, Trevor Zegras · Tip-in, 0.14 xG3–2
- P3 4:09SEAMatty BeniersAssists: Jaden Schwartz, Carson Soucy · Tip-in, 0.13 xG4–2
- P3 9:56ANAFrank VatranoAssists: Ryan Strome, John Klingberg · Wrist, 0.04 xG4–3
- P3 13:23ANATrevor ZegrasPPAssists: Troy Terry, John Klingberg · Slap, 0.10 xG4–4
- OT 0:55ANATroy TerryGWGAssists: John Gibson · Backhand, 0.13 xG4–5
Penalties (10)
- P1 7:46ANAMason McTavish: Tripping2 min
- P1 9:09ANADmitry Kulikov: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 15:08SEAJamie Oleksiak: Interference2 min
- P1 19:00ANACam Fowler: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P2 4:45ANAMax Jones: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 17:14SEARyan Donato: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 2:10SEAWill Borgen: Fighting5 min
- P3 2:10ANAMaxime Comtois: Fighting5 min
- P3 12:20SEARyan Donato: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 15:37ANAJamie Drysdale: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Grant won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Gourde – Tanev9:36
xG 0.65–0.04 (94%)attempts 19–4goals 0–0
- Schwartz – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg11:39
xG 0.70–0.28 (72%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Donato – Kuhlman – Wright4:25
xG 0.62–0.31 (66%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Burakovsky – McCann – Beniers9:40
xG 0.21–0.12 (64%)attempts 5–2goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Dunn17:10
xG 1.30–0.56 (70%)attempts 24–13goals 0–1
- Soucy – Borgen9:11
xG 0.35–0.07 (83%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Schultz – Oleksiak10:31
xG 0.42–0.44 (49%)attempts 8–9goals 0–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Terry – McTavish5:50
xG 0.33–0.11 (74%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
- Strome – Vatrano – Terry2:44
xG 0.07–0.09 (43%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
- Grant – Jones – Regenda5:52
xG 0.29–0.41 (41%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Henrique – Vatrano – Zegras7:03
xG 0.28–0.56 (33%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Fowler – Drysdale2:01
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Fowler – Klingberg19:32
xG 0.99–1.16 (46%)attempts 19–18goals 1–0
- Kulikov – Drysdale14:42
xG 0.35–0.78 (31%)attempts 9–16goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).