Thu, Oct 13, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Seattle Kraken 4, Los Angeles Kings 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 17 | 26 | 19 | 422 |
| LAK | 18 | 09 | 010 | 127 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:21SEAJaden SchwartzPPAssists: Jordan Eberle, Andre Burakovsky · Backhand, 0.17 xG1–0
- P1 7:43LAKAlex IafalloPPUnassisted · Wrap-around, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 6:08SEABrandon TanevGWGAssists: Will Borgen · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–1
- P2 13:08SEAAlexander WennbergAssists: Matty Beniers, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–1
- P3 18:59SEAAdam LarssonENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.58 xG4–1
Penalties (17)
- P1 1:44LAKArthur Kaliyev: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 3:53LAKBlake Lizotte: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 7:39SEAWill Borgen: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 10:16SEACarson Soucy: Holding2 min
- P2 11:06LAKAlexander Edler: Holding2 min
- P2 15:37SEAJamie Oleksiak: Illegal check to head2 min
- P3 6:52LAKDrew Doughty: Slashing2 min
- P3 7:19SEAVince Dunn: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:49LAKArthur Kaliyev: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:55LAKAlex Iafallo: Hooking2 min
- P3 17:27SEABrandon Tanev: Cross checking2 min
- P3 19:15LAKBrendan Lemieux: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:15SEAYanni Gourde: Fighting5 min
- P3 0:00SEARyan Donato: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:00SEARyan Donato: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:00LAKJonathan Quick: Goalie leave crease2 min
- P3 0:00LAKGabriel Vilardi: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Byfield won the faceoff against Gourde
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestSchwartz – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg8:04
xG 0.45–0.10 (81%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Eberle – Gourde – Tanev7:17
xG 0.41–0.34 (55%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Donato – Geekie – Kuhlman5:30
xG 0.06–0.02 (79%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Burakovsky – McCann – Beniers10:22
xG 0.45–0.44 (50%)attempts 5–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSoucy – Borgen10:42
xG 0.60–0.49 (55%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Schultz – Oleksiak10:47
xG 0.45–0.38 (54%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
- Larsson – Dunn14:42
xG 0.12–0.49 (20%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestLemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev3:20
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Vilardi – Iafallo – Byfield6:49
xG 0.28–0.13 (68%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Fiala – Kempe7:56
xG 0.22–0.14 (62%)attempts 7–2goals 0–1
- Danault – Fiala – Moore3:30
xG 0.14–0.07 (65%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson13:28
xG 0.30–0.12 (72%)attempts 9–3goals 0–1
- Edler – Clarke7:27
xG 0.35–0.26 (57%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Edler – Roy2:39
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 2–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).