Sat, Oct 15, 2022·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Chicago Blackhawks 5, San Jose Sharks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 08 | 39 | 28 | 525 |
| SJS | 29 | 011 | 06 | 226 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:58SJSNico SturmAssists: Erik Karlsson, Mario Ferraro · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 19:22SJSErik KarlssonAssists: Logan Couture, Steven Lorentz · Wrist, 0.01 xG0–2
- P2 7:21CHIJonathan ToewsAssists: Tyler Johnson, Taylor Raddysh · Backhand, 0.08 xG1–2
- P2 8:27CHISam LaffertySHAssists: Jason Dickinson, Jack Johnson · Backhand, 0.07 xG2–2
- P2 10:35CHISam LaffertySHGWGAssists: Jason Dickinson, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–2
- P3 5:08CHITaylor RaddyshAssists: Tyler Johnson · Backhand, 0.10 xG4–2
- P3 9:37CHIJason DickinsonAssists: Philipp Kurashev, Sam Lafferty · Wrist, 0.10 xG5–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:22SJSMatt Benning: Interference2 min
- P2 5:05CHITaylor Raddysh: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 7:56CHIAndreas Athanasiou: Holding2 min
- P2 9:49CHIConnor Murphy: Cross checking2 min
- P2 0:00SJSJonah Gadjovich: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:00CHIJarred Tinordi: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:00CHIAndreas Athanasiou: Misconduct10 min
- P3 11:42SJSNick Bonino: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Dickinson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDickinson – Lafferty – Kurashev8:20
xG 0.29–0.22 (57%)attempts 5–10goals 1–2
- Kane – Athanasiou – Domi10:33
xG 0.34–0.29 (54%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Kane – Domi – Kurashev2:16
xG 0.04–0.06 (42%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Khaira – Entwistle7:45
xG 0.01–0.06 (9%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Jones15:07
xG 0.52–0.39 (57%)attempts 10–17goals 1–1
- Jones – Roos9:43
xG 0.24–0.24 (50%)attempts 5–8goals 1–1
- Tinordi – Murphy15:50
xG 0.19–0.19 (50%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHertl – Meier – Kunin9:26
xG 0.36–0.27 (57%)attempts 11–4goals 0–1
- Bonino – Nieto – Lindblom8:28
xG 0.16–0.13 (56%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Couture – Labanc – Lorentz9:06
xG 0.17–0.19 (47%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Svechnikov – Gadjovich – Sturm6:13
xG 0.13–0.27 (32%)attempts 5–6goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- Megna – Simek10:32
xG 0.21–0.17 (56%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Benning16:39
xG 0.41–0.40 (51%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Ferraro14:01
xG 0.39–0.43 (47%)attempts 15–7goals 2–3
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).