Thu, Oct 20, 2022·TD Garden, Boston
Anaheim Ducks 1, Boston Bruins 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 05 | 110 | 011 | 05 | 0 | 131 |
| BOS | 013 | 110 | 09 | 04 | 1 | 236 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:31BOSTaylor HallAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Matt Grzelcyk · Snap, 0.14 xG0–1
- P2 6:03ANAFrank VatranoAssists: Mason McTavish, Ryan Strome · Snap, 0.07 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. BOS Jake DeBrusk stopped
- 2. ANA Trevor Zegras stopped
- 3. BOS David Pastrnak stopped
- 4. ANA Troy Terry stopped
- 5. BOS Charlie Coyle stopped
- 6. ANA Kevin Shattenkirk stopped
- 7. BOS Taylor Hall scored
- 8. ANA Maxime Comtois stopped
Penalties (9)
- P1 1:44ANAFrank Vatrano: Cross checking2 min
- P1 10:36ANATroy Terry: Slashing2 min
- P2 8:31BOSDerek Forbort: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:12BOSJack Studnicka: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:14ANAKevin Shattenkirk: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:46ANANathan Beaulieu: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 10:31BOSJack Studnicka: Slashing2 min
- P3 19:27BOSHampus Lindholm: Roughing2 min
- OT 4:36ANADerek Grant: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lundeström won the faceoff against Nosek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- Henrique – Terry – Zegras6:56
xG 0.01–0.08 (7%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Silfverberg – Comtois – Lundeström9:13
xG 0.20–0.34 (38%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Grant – Jones – Regenda5:54
xG 0.10–0.36 (23%)attempts 1–8goals 0–0
- Strome – Vatrano – McTavish8:35
xG 0.41–0.68 (37%)attempts 10–8goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- Fowler – Klingberg3:38
xG 0.15–0.13 (53%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Shattenkirk – Beaulieu7:03
xG 0.11–0.12 (47%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Kulikov – Klingberg12:09
xG 0.36–0.46 (44%)attempts 12–10goals 1–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKrejci – Hall – Pastrnak8:18
xG 0.67–0.22 (76%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Bergeron – Zacha – DeBrusk7:29
xG 0.40–0.09 (81%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Krejci – Pastrnak – Zacha3:37
xG 0.23–0.00 (98%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Coyle – Frederic – Studnicka3:31
xG 0.12–0.02 (85%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestReilly – Lindholm3:23
xG 0.42–0.02 (95%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Zboril3:45
xG 0.24–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Grzelcyk10:25
xG 0.39–0.19 (67%)attempts 9–11goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).