Sun, Oct 23, 2022·United Center, Chicago
Seattle Kraken 4, Chicago Blackhawks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 212 | 211 | 011 | 434 |
| CHI | 28 | 114 | 25 | 527 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:46SEAJared McCannAssists: Morgan Geekie, Karson Kuhlman · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–0
- P1 7:31SEAAndre BurakovskyAssists: Jordan Eberle · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–0
- P1 17:04CHIJujhar KhairaSHAssists: Colin Blackwell · Wrist, 0.22 xG2–1
- P1 19:18CHITyler JohnsonPPAssists: Seth Jones, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
- P2 0:32CHIMax DomiPPAssists: Seth Jones, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.23 xG2–3
- P2 0:51SEAMatty BeniersAssists: Jaden Schwartz, Carson Soucy · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–3
- P2 10:43SEAVince DunnAssists: Jared McCann, Adam Larsson · Wrist, 0.07 xG4–3
- P3 12:57CHITyler JohnsonAssists: Jonathan Toews, Taylor Raddysh · Wrist, 0.07 xG4–4
- P3 13:10CHIJason DickinsonGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.09 xG4–5
Penalties (6)
- P1 16:14CHIPatrick Kane: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:17SEAAlexander Wennberg: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 19:56SEAAndre Burakovsky: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 1:10CHITyler Johnson: Interference2 min
- P2 3:56SEACarson Soucy: Tripping2 min
- P2 4:58CHISeth Jones: High sticking double minor4 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dickinson won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Schwartz – Beniers12:32
xG 0.67–0.35 (66%)attempts 13–11goals 1–1
- McCann – Geekie – Kuhlman4:35
xG 0.39–0.19 (68%)attempts 5–4goals 1–0
- Donato – Tanev – Wright4:11
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Tanev – Geekie – Kuhlman2:04
xG 0.14–0.20 (42%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSoucy – Borgen12:47
xG 0.67–0.35 (66%)attempts 16–9goals 2–1
- Larsson – Dunn16:13
xG 0.78–0.63 (55%)attempts 15–16goals 2–1
- Schultz – Oleksiak12:14
xG 0.54–0.56 (49%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestToews – Johnson – Raddysh10:55
xG 0.81–0.26 (75%)attempts 12–9goals 1–0
- Blackwell – Khaira – Entwistle5:55
xG 0.15–0.05 (76%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Kane – Athanasiou – Domi13:26
xG 0.49–0.91 (35%)attempts 15–14goals 0–2
- Dickinson – Lafferty – Kurashev7:57
xG 0.15–0.59 (20%)attempts 5–14goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Roos2:58
xG 0.50–0.07 (87%)attempts 12–1goals 2–0
- McCabe – Roos9:21
xG 0.48–0.10 (83%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- McCabe – Jones4:19
xG 0.05–0.02 (72%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).