Tue, Oct 25, 2022·United Center, Chicago
Florida Panthers 2, Chicago Blackhawks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 07 | 09 | 215 | 231 |
| CHI | 27 | 19 | 16 | 422 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:57CHITaylor RaddyshPPAssists: Tyler Johnson, Patrick Kane · Slap, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 19:37CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Andreas Athanasiou, Max Domi · Snap, 0.07 xG0–2
- P2 15:58CHIPhilipp KurashevGWGAssists: MacKenzie Entwistle, Caleb Jones · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–3
- P3 11:32FLAEetu LuostarinenAssists: Colin White, Anton Lundell · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–3
- P3 12:47FLAMatthew TkachukAssists: Brandon Montour, Carter Verhaeghe · Deflected, 0.07 xG2–3
- P3 19:37CHIJonathan ToewsENAssists: Jason Dickinson · Wrap-around, 0.79 xG2–4
Penalties (9)
- P1 2:20FLAColin White: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P2 2:11CHIJake McCabe: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 6:20CHISam Lafferty: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:35CHITyler Johnson: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:00CHIJason Dickinson: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:54FLAMatthew Tkachuk: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 17:34FLARadko Gudas: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:34CHIMax Domi: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 13:07CHIMax Domi: Delaying game face off violation2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dickinson won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestWhite – Luostarinen – Lundell6:57
xG 0.66–0.17 (80%)attempts 8–1goals 1–0
- Verhaeghe – Barkov – Tkachuk3:15
xG 0.39–0.04 (90%)attempts 9–1goals 1–0
- Bennett – Balcers – Tkachuk5:04
xG 0.27–0.09 (75%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- White – Lomberg – Luostarinen2:25
xG 0.09–0.00 (99%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStaal – Kiersted8:08
xG 0.83–0.15 (85%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Gudas – Mahura6:20
xG 0.21–0.03 (88%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Montour – Forsling8:12
xG 0.26–0.13 (67%)attempts 9–3goals 1–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDickinson – Lafferty – Kurashev9:59
xG 0.28–0.20 (59%)attempts 8–10goals 0–1
- Kane – Athanasiou – Domi10:02
xG 0.38–0.55 (41%)attempts 6–12goals 1–0
- Toews – Johnson – Raddysh5:49
xG 0.05–0.27 (15%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Khaira – Entwistle6:17
xG 0.05–0.36 (12%)attempts 3–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcCabe – Jones8:54
xG 0.41–0.10 (80%)attempts 6–9goals 1–0
- Johnson – Jones10:17
xG 0.32–0.42 (43%)attempts 6–10goals 0–2
- McCabe – Jones2:44
xG 0.00–0.26 (2%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).