Thu, Oct 27, 2022·United Center, Chicago
Edmonton Oilers 6, Chicago Blackhawks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 114 | 212 | 312 | 638 |
| CHI | 212 | 216 | 18 | 536 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:29EDMZach HymanAssists: Connor McDavid, Evander Kane · Snap, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 13:20CHIAndreas AthanasiouAssists: Max Domi · Backhand, 0.15 xG1–1
- P1 15:38CHIReese JohnsonAssists: Caleb Jones, Colin Blackwell · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–2
- P2 0:18EDMConnor McDavidAssists: Evan Bouchard, Brett Kulak · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
- P2 1:33CHIJonathan ToewsPPAssists: Max Domi, Patrick Kane · Deflected, 0.19 xG2–3
- P2 8:28EDMConnor McDavidPPAssists: Leon Draisaitl, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–3
- P2 16:46CHIMax DomiPPAssists: Taylor Raddysh, Patrick Kane · Slap, 0.15 xG3–4
- P3 0:24EDMRyan Nugent-HopkinsPPAssists: Leon Draisaitl, Tyson Barrie · Snap, 0.20 xG4–4
- P3 10:16EDMConnor McDavidPPAssists: Evan Bouchard, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · Wrist, 0.14 xG5–4
- P3 16:49CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Jake McCabe, Caleb Jones · Wrist, 0.14 xG5–5
- P3 19:22EDMLeon DraisaitlGWGAssists: Evander Kane, Kailer Yamamoto · Wrist, 0.14 xG6–5
Penalties (20)
- P1 7:51EDMDylan Holloway: Interference2 min
- P1 16:33CHIJarred Tinordi: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:26EDMJack Campbell: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P2 2:48EDMMarkus Niemelainen: Interference2 min
- P2 3:53CHISeth Jones: Slashing2 min
- P2 5:30EDMEvander Kane: Cross checking2 min
- P2 5:30EDMEvander Kane: Cross checking2 min
- P2 7:02CHICaleb Jones: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 7:27CHIPhilipp Kurashev: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:07CHIJake McCabe: Slashing2 min
- P2 8:07EDMTyson Barrie: Cross checking2 min
- P2 8:57EDMDylan Holloway: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:43EDMDarnell Nurse: Cross checking2 min
- P2 15:53EDMJesse Puljujarvi: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min · PPG
- P2 16:16EDMEvander Kane: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 18:42CHICaleb Jones: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 2:57EDMEvan Bouchard: Holding2 min
- P3 4:48CHIAndreas Athanasiou: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 8:48CHIMacKenzie Entwistle: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 11:24CHIJonathan Toews: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Draisaitl
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestFoegele – Puljujarvi – McLeod7:23
xG 0.21–0.01 (96%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Ryan – Yamamoto – Holloway2:31
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Kane – Draisaitl – Yamamoto6:25
xG 0.35–0.38 (48%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Shore – Ryan – Holloway2:49
xG 0.00–0.10 (4%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKulak – Bouchard7:20
xG 0.24–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–0goals 1–0
- Barrie – Nurse2:17
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 1–0
- Ceci – Kulak2:36
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBlackwell – Entwistle – Johnson3:43
xG 0.42–0.16 (73%)attempts 8–4goals 1–0
- Kane – Athanasiou – Domi7:41
xG 0.37–0.11 (77%)attempts 4–6goals 2–0
- Dickinson – Lafferty – Kurashev5:41
xG 0.52–0.31 (63%)attempts 6–10goals 0–2
- Toews – Khaira – Raddysh4:37
xG 0.05–0.18 (20%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTinordi – Murphy6:25
xG 0.63–0.11 (85%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
- Johnson – Jones7:48
xG 0.41–0.18 (70%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
- McCabe – Jones6:03
xG 0.34–0.26 (56%)attempts 5–9goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it EDM. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − EDM), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).