Fri, Oct 28, 2022·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Boston Bruins 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 114 | 315 | 06 | 435 |
| CBJ | 012 | 07 | 011 | 030 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:43BOSMatt GrzelcykGWGAssists: Pavel Zacha, David Pastrnak · Snap, 0.04 xG1–0
- P2 4:30BOSCharlie CoyleSHUnassisted · Backhand, 0.08 xG2–0
- P2 15:07BOSJake DeBruskUnassisted · Snap, 0.10 xG3–0
- P2 19:33BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.07 xG4–0
Penalties (5)
- P1 5:43BOSConnor Clifton: Boarding2 min
- P1 13:24CBJAndrew Peeke: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:39BOSTomas Nosek: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:53CBJBoone Jenner: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:58BOSAnton Stralman: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuraly won the faceoff against Nosek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Smith – DeBrusk6:22
xG 0.53–0.07 (89%)attempts 13–7goals 1–0
- Coyle – Greer – Frederic7:23
xG 0.40–0.05 (89%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Foligno – Nosek – Lauko8:42
xG 0.25–0.17 (59%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Hall – Pastrnak – Zacha10:48
xG 0.32–0.46 (41%)attempts 9–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Carlo12:56
xG 0.75–0.21 (78%)attempts 17–12goals 1–0
- Forbort – Clifton15:31
xG 0.31–0.28 (53%)attempts 12–11goals 1–0
- Stralman – Grzelcyk15:34
xG 0.54–0.52 (51%)attempts 12–18goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestChinakhov – Johnson – Sillinger5:31
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Voracek – Nyquist – Jenner6:17
xG 0.24–0.12 (68%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Gaudreau – Roslovic – Laine9:50
xG 0.32–0.34 (49%)attempts 11–13goals 0–1
- Kuraly – Robinson – Foudy7:10
xG 0.00–0.05 (4%)attempts 3–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Gavrikov – Jiricek5:03
xG 0.09–0.09 (50%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Gavrikov2:09
xG 0.01–0.04 (15%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Werenski – Gavrikov2:46
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).