Sun, Oct 30, 2022·Prudential Center, Newark
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, New Jersey Devils 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 98% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 05 | 17 | 09 | 121 |
| NJD | 120 | 311 | 322 | 753 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:10NJDFabian ZetterlundAssists: Nico Hischier · Slap, 0.13 xG0–1
- P2 3:22NJDNico HischierGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–2
- P2 3:55NJDRyan GravesAssists: Jesper Bratt, Jack Hughes · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–3
- P2 6:39CBJEgor ChinakhovAssists: Cole Sillinger, Kent Johnson · Snap, 0.10 xG1–3
- P2 19:38NJDJohn MarinoUnassisted · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–4
- P3 3:46NJDJonas SiegenthalerPPAssists: Dawson Mercer, Erik Haula · Snap, 0.28 xG1–5
- P3 12:47NJDJesper BrattAssists: Jack Hughes, Tomas Tatar · Slap, 0.08 xG1–6
- P3 14:47NJDMiles WoodAssists: Nathan Bastian, Michael McLeod · Backhand, 0.07 xG1–7
Penalties (7)
- P1 6:26CBJDavid Jiricek: Interference2 min
- P1 12:07CBJJohnny Gaudreau: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:04NJDJohn Marino: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:18NJDNathan Bastian: Slashing2 min
- P2 19:18CBJElvis Merzlikins: Roughing2 min
- P3 2:02CBJBoone Jenner: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 10:22NJDJohn Marino: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Roslovic won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Voracek – Jenner – Laine3:29
xG 0.06–0.07 (45%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Gaudreau – Jenner – Laine3:20
xG 0.02–0.04 (31%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Nyquist – Gaudreau – Roslovic3:09
xG 0.05–0.18 (23%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Olivier – Foudy7:05
xG 0.13–0.30 (30%)attempts 8–9goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestGudbranson – Werenski2:08
xG 0.10–0.04 (71%)attempts 1–1goals 1–0
- Gavrikov – Peeke4:26
xG 0.17–0.13 (57%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Werenski – Jiricek4:33
xG 0.13–0.17 (43%)attempts 2–5goals 0–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestTatar – Hischier – Zetterlund9:44
xG 1.02–0.15 (87%)attempts 13–4goals 2–0
- Boqvist – Sharangovich – Mercer8:27
xG 0.43–0.12 (78%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Wood – Bastian – McLeod11:02
xG 0.27–0.03 (90%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Haula – Bratt – Hughes9:55
xG 0.35–0.13 (73%)attempts 12–7goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestHamilton – Siegenthaler14:11
xG 1.37–0.21 (87%)attempts 27–11goals 2–1
- Smith – Severson13:48
xG 0.64–0.06 (91%)attempts 17–11goals 1–0
- Graves – Marino14:24
xG 0.64–0.22 (75%)attempts 14–7goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 98% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).