Sun, Oct 30, 2022·United Center, Chicago
Minnesota Wild 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 211 | 09 | 113 | 02 | 2 | 435 |
| CHI | 113 | 16 | 17 | 00 | 0 | 326 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:39CHIJake McCabeAssists: Sam Lafferty, Jarred Tinordi · Wrist, 0.01 xG0–1
- P1 7:01MINMatt BoldyAssists: Ryan Hartman · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
- P1 10:52MINMason ShawAssists: Sam Steel, Connor Dewar · Wrist, 0.25 xG2–1
- P2 10:27CHIJonathan ToewsAssists: Philipp Kurashev, Filip Roos · Poke, 0.20 xG2–2
- P3 10:02CHIAndreas AthanasiouAssists: Patrick Kane, Jarred Tinordi · Backhand, 0.09 xG2–3
- P3 10:19MINMatt BoldyAssists: Joel Eriksson Ek, Mason Shaw · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. MIN Mats Zuccarello stopped
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
- 3. MIN Kirill Kaprizov scored
- 4. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 5. MIN Frederick Gaudreau scored
Penalties (11)
- P1 2:46CHIConnor Murphy: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:36CHIJarred Tinordi: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:36MINRyan Hartman: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:36MINRyan Hartman: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:36CHIJarred Tinordi: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:12CHIBoris Katchouk: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:25CHIMax Domi: Instigator2 min
- P3 17:25CHIMax Domi: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:25CHIMax Domi: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 17:25MINTyson Jost: Boarding2 min
- P3 17:25MINTyson Jost: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Gaudreau
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestSteel – Shaw – Dewar7:05
xG 0.41–0.06 (88%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
- Eriksson Ek – Shaw – Boldy4:28
xG 0.29–0.08 (78%)attempts 6–2goals 1–0
- Zuccarello – Gaudreau – Kaprizov14:41
xG 0.31–0.13 (70%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Hartman – Eriksson Ek – Boldy6:43
xG 0.29–0.26 (52%)attempts 6–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSpurgeon – Middleton16:02
xG 0.87–0.42 (68%)attempts 18–13goals 2–1
- Brodin – Addison19:30
xG 0.75–0.48 (61%)attempts 17–14goals 1–1
- Merrill – Dumba16:59
xG 0.61–0.43 (59%)attempts 11–14goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Toews – Raddysh – Kurashev13:11
xG 0.15–0.30 (34%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Kane – Athanasiou – Domi14:07
xG 0.46–0.62 (42%)attempts 10–13goals 1–1
- Blackwell – Dickinson – Lafferty9:06
xG 0.24–0.49 (33%)attempts 12–7goals 1–2
- Katchouk – Entwistle – Johnson8:26
xG 0.18–0.47 (27%)attempts 3–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Johnson – Jones2:26
xG 0.03–0.00 (99%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Tinordi – Murphy16:01
xG 0.51–0.61 (45%)attempts 15–18goals 1–1
- Johnson – McCabe17:32
xG 0.18–0.41 (30%)attempts 11–12goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).