Mon, Oct 31, 2022·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Los Angeles Kings 5, St. Louis Blues 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 17 | 416 | 07 | 530 |
| STL | 08 | 18 | 012 | 128 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:12LAKGabriel VilardiAssists: Kevin Fiala, Adrian Kempe · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–0
- P2 3:44LAKCarl GrundstromGWGAssists: Rasmus Kupari, Kevin Fiala · Tip-in, 0.07 xG2–0
- P2 5:06LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Gabriel Vilardi, Drew Doughty · Tip-in, 0.08 xG3–0
- P2 7:39LAKArthur KaliyevPPAssists: Trevor Moore, Viktor Arvidsson · Wrist, 0.21 xG4–0
- P2 9:59LAKCarl GrundstromAssists: Kevin Fiala, Matt Roy · Snap, 0.05 xG5–0
- P2 10:42STLAlexey ToropchenkoAssists: Ivan Barbashev, Noel Acciari · Poke, 0.10 xG5–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:20LAKAdrian Kempe: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:39STLJustin Faulk: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 16:19STLBrayden Schenn: Holding2 min
- P2 19:21LAKArthur Kaliyev: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 1:51LAKCarl Grundstrom: Boarding2 min
- P3 6:54STLRobert Bortuzzo: Slashing2 min
- P3 18:09LAKSean Durzi: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Thomas
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFiala – Grundstrom – Kupari7:44
xG 0.68–0.13 (84%)attempts 12–6goals 2–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore8:43
xG 0.23–0.06 (79%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Vilardi11:33
xG 0.49–0.47 (51%)attempts 9–9goals 1–0
- Lemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev7:36
xG 0.26–0.60 (30%)attempts 11–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson15:25
xG 1.09–0.30 (79%)attempts 24–8goals 2–0
- Roy – Durzi14:46
xG 0.63–0.40 (61%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Edler – Walker10:39
xG 0.28–0.75 (27%)attempts 9–12goals 1–1
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestBarbashev – Acciari – Toropchenko2:43
xG 0.19–0.03 (87%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
- O'Reilly – Schenn – Kyrou6:15
xG 0.43–0.32 (57%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- O'Reilly – Tarasenko – Buchnevich5:11
xG 0.29–0.24 (55%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Barbashev – Brown – Neighbours4:43
xG 0.10–0.11 (46%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFaulk – Parayko2:05
xG 0.27–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Leddy – Parayko12:01
xG 0.47–0.36 (57%)attempts 11–10goals 0–1
- Bortuzzo – Rosen7:32
xG 0.29–0.34 (46%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).