Tue, Nov 1, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Boston Bruins 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 214 | 113 | 211 | 12 | 640 |
| PIT | 112 | 415 | 08 | 03 | 538 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:30PITSidney CrosbyUnassisted · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–1
- P1 5:19BOSCharlie CoyleAssists: Trent Frederic, A.J. Greer · Tip-in, 0.19 xG1–1
- P1 13:20BOSJakub LaukoAssists: Nick Foligno · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–1
- P2 1:47PITEvgeni MalkinAssists: Pierre-Olivier Joseph, Brock McGinn · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–2
- P2 8:42PITJosh ArchibaldAssists: Brock McGinn, Jan Rutta · Snap, 0.24 xG2–3
- P2 11:16PITBryan RustAssists: Brian Dumoulin, Jake Guentzel · Wrist, 0.23 xG2–4
- P2 11:36PITRickard RakellAssists: Jason Zucker, Evgeni Malkin · Snap, 0.05 xG2–5
- P2 12:57BOSBrad MarchandPPAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Jake DeBrusk · Snap, 0.09 xG3–5
- P3 11:59BOSPavel ZachaAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Brandon Carlo · Tip-in, 0.06 xG4–5
- P3 18:43BOSTaylor HallAssists: David Pastrnak, Hampus Lindholm · Snap, 0.20 xG5–5
- OT 3:37BOSHampus LindholmGWGAssists: Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.11 xG6–5
Penalties (7)
- P1 14:29BOSBrandon Carlo: Interference2 min
- P1 16:32PITMarcus Pettersson: High sticking2 min
- P1 17:56BOSDavid Pastrnak: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 12:42PITJeff Petry: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 18:17PITSidney Crosby: Hooking2 min
- P3 4:43BOSTaylor Hall: Interference2 min
- OT 1:04BOSHampus Lindholm: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Crosby
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Greer – Frederic6:18
xG 0.85–0.64 (57%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk9:30
xG 0.44–0.27 (62%)attempts 12–11goals 0–1
- Hall – Pastrnak – Zacha10:38
xG 0.65–0.61 (52%)attempts 13–8goals 1–2
- Foligno – Nosek – Lauko6:53
xG 0.22–0.48 (32%)attempts 5–12goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestStralman – Grzelcyk6:21
xG 0.75–0.62 (55%)attempts 7–11goals 2–0
- Forbort – Clifton3:57
xG 0.13–0.03 (81%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Stralman – Lindholm6:00
xG 0.38–0.30 (56%)attempts 5–6goals 0–2
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestCrosby – Rust – Guentzel14:07
xG 1.10–0.56 (66%)attempts 21–15goals 2–1
- Malkin – Zucker – Rakell11:13
xG 0.57–0.56 (50%)attempts 11–7goals 1–1
- Kapanen – Heinen – O'Connor8:19
xG 0.71–0.72 (50%)attempts 12–9goals 0–1
- Archibald – McGinn – Poehling8:53
xG 0.33–0.39 (46%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRuhwedel – Joseph10:49
xG 1.15–0.08 (94%)attempts 16–6goals 1–0
- Petry – Dumoulin15:00
xG 0.57–0.92 (38%)attempts 19–14goals 1–1
- Pettersson – Rutta18:00
xG 0.79–1.18 (40%)attempts 16–22goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PIT's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PIT is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PIT − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).