Tue, Nov 1, 2022·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
New Jersey Devils 5, Vancouver Canucks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 27 | 216 | 114 | 537 |
| VAN | 010 | 19 | 14 | 223 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:36NJDNico HischierPPAssists: Jesper Bratt, Jack Hughes · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–0
- P1 18:04NJDMichael McLeodAssists: Miles Wood, Nathan Bastian · Wrist, 0.25 xG2–0
- P2 9:25NJDDawson MercerSHGWGAssists: Yegor Sharangovich · Tip-in, 0.21 xG3–0
- P2 11:37NJDYegor SharangovichAssists: Jesper Boqvist, John Marino · Tip-in, 0.05 xG4–0
- P2 16:23VANBo HorvatPPAssists: J.T. Miller, Quinn Hughes · Slap, 0.15 xG4–1
- P3 17:12VANBo HorvatPPAssists: J.T. Miller, Elias Pettersson · Slap, 0.20 xG4–2
- P3 18:58NJDJack HughesENAssists: Tomas Tatar · Wrist, 0.49 xG5–2
Penalties (11)
- P1 4:28VANTanner Pearson: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 9:30NJDDamon Severson: Holding2 min
- P2 7:29VANLuke Schenn: Fighting5 min
- P2 7:29NJDMiles Wood: Fighting5 min
- P2 7:29NJDMiles Wood: Instigator2 min
- P2 7:29VANLuke Schenn: Aggressor10 min
- P2 7:29NJDMiles Wood: Instigator misconduct10 min
- P2 7:29VANDakota Joshua: Game misconduct10 min
- P2 16:15NJDBrendan Smith: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 17:24NJDJonas Siegenthaler: Interference2 min
- P3 16:26NJDRyan Graves: Holding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Pettersson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestWood – Bastian – McLeod7:44
xG 0.47–0.19 (71%)attempts 7–5goals 1–0
- Boqvist – Sharangovich – Mercer8:48
xG 0.39–0.35 (53%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
- Haula – Bratt – Hughes10:41
xG 0.49–0.46 (52%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Tatar – Hischier – Zetterlund10:53
xG 0.31–0.36 (46%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSmith – Severson14:13
xG 0.73–0.54 (58%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Graves – Marino14:02
xG 0.54–0.38 (59%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler16:17
xG 0.57–0.79 (42%)attempts 20–18goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestPettersson – Mikheyev – Kuzmenko13:54
xG 0.88–0.38 (70%)attempts 16–12goals 0–1
- Miller – Horvat – Garland12:20
xG 0.65–0.52 (55%)attempts 16–10goals 0–0
- Pearson – Hoglander – Aman2:40
xG 0.16–0.17 (48%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Joshua – Podkolzin – Aman4:27
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEkman-Larsson – Stillman2:08
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Myers – Ekman-Larsson13:14
xG 0.77–0.76 (50%)attempts 15–14goals 0–1
- Schenn – Hughes8:56
xG 0.24–0.29 (46%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).