Thu, Nov 3, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York
Boston Bruins 5, New York Rangers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 89% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 111 | 09 | 417 | 537 |
| NYR | 05 | 111 | 14 | 220 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:53BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Taylor Hall · Backhand, 0.01 xG1–0
- P2 10:21NYRJimmy VeseyAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Kaapo Kakko · Snap, 0.13 xG1–1
- P3 2:56BOSCharlie CoyleAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Nick Foligno · Tip-in, 0.08 xG2–1
- P3 3:44NYRAdam FoxAssists: Chris Kreider, Kaapo Kakko · Snap, 0.09 xG2–2
- P3 6:04BOSTrent FredericGWGAssists: Nick Foligno, Connor Clifton · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–2
- P3 10:19BOSJake DeBruskAssists: Pavel Zacha, Taylor Hall · Slap, 0.09 xG4–2
- P3 19:02BOSHampus LindholmENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.34 xG5–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 5:07BOSDavid Pastrnak: Interference2 min
- P2 5:05NYRAdam Fox: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:57NYRBraden Schneider: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:57BOSA.J. Greer: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:57BOSA.J. Greer: Instigator2 min
- P2 10:57BOSA.J. Greer: Instigator misconduct10 min
- P2 10:57BOSTrent Frederic: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:57NYRBarclay Goodrow: Fighting5 min
- P3 11:07NYRZac Jones: Holding2 min
- P3 16:22NYRMika Zibanejad: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carpenter won the faceoff against Nosek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk7:15
xG 0.59–0.10 (86%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak2:09
xG 0.25–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Hall – Pastrnak – Zacha9:41
xG 0.57–0.47 (55%)attempts 11–9goals 1–1
- Foligno – Coyle – Frederic2:10
xG 0.16–0.09 (63%)attempts 4–3goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Clifton15:25
xG 0.96–0.23 (81%)attempts 22–8goals 2–0
- Stralman – Reilly10:38
xG 0.65–0.35 (65%)attempts 16–7goals 0–1
- Grzelcyk – Carlo13:34
xG 0.60–0.51 (54%)attempts 8–13goals 2–1
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Kakko9:12
xG 0.18–0.18 (50%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Trocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière15:25
xG 0.52–0.58 (47%)attempts 17–11goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Vesey – Gauthier4:17
xG 0.10–0.39 (21%)attempts 3–9goals 0–1
- Reaves – Carpenter – Blais7:40
xG 0.09–0.49 (15%)attempts 1–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Jones7:26
xG 0.38–0.31 (56%)attempts 10–9goals 0–1
- Jones – Schneider5:46
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Fox – Schneider3:04
xG 0.27–0.27 (50%)attempts 3–1goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 89% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).