Thu, Nov 3, 2022·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Seattle Kraken 4, Minnesota Wild 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 06 | 38 | 19 | 423 |
| MIN | 04 | 012 | 06 | 022 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:02SEAMorgan GeekieGWGAssists: Daniel Sprong, Ryan Donato · Tip-in, 0.07 xG1–0
- P2 11:34SEAJamie OleksiakAssists: Yanni Gourde, Justin Schultz · Deflected, 0.08 xG2–0
- P2 14:47SEAAlexander WennbergPPAssists: Daniel Sprong, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Deflected, 0.16 xG3–0
- P3 10:35SEAAlexander WennbergAssists: Will Borgen, Andre Burakovsky · Tip-in, 0.11 xG4–0
Penalties (4)
- P1 3:46MINJonas Brodin: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 17:13SEAAdam Larsson: Tripping2 min
- P2 6:31SEAAndre Burakovsky: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:58MINKirill Kaprizov: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Beniers won the faceoff against Gaudreau
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Schwartz – Beniers10:53
xG 0.25–0.00 (99%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Donato – Sprong – Geekie6:55
xG 0.17–0.06 (74%)attempts 6–2goals 1–0
- Schwartz – Bjorkstrand – Beniers2:44
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Bjorkstrand – Burakovsky – Wennberg8:30
xG 0.38–0.50 (43%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSoucy – Borgen11:49
xG 0.26–0.08 (75%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Schultz – Oleksiak14:02
xG 0.56–0.41 (58%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Larsson – Dunn18:36
xG 0.33–0.89 (27%)attempts 14–17goals 1–0
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestJost – Boldy – Rossi3:14
xG 0.42–0.01 (98%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Eriksson Ek – Shaw – Boldy4:32
xG 0.37–0.20 (65%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
- Zuccarello – Kaprizov – Boldy7:32
xG 0.14–0.14 (50%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Zuccarello – Gaudreau – Kaprizov6:57
xG 0.13–0.17 (44%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSpurgeon – Middleton12:25
xG 0.58–0.27 (69%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Brodin – Addison12:04
xG 0.27–0.21 (56%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
- Merrill – Dumba13:00
xG 0.10–0.36 (21%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).