Thu, Nov 3, 2022·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Anaheim Ducks 5, Vancouver Canucks 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 111 | 19 | 311 | 531 |
| VAN | 112 | 214 | 521 | 847 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:30ANATroy TerryPPAssists: John Klingberg, John Gibson · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–0
- P1 19:40VANBo HorvatPPAssists: Quinn Hughes, Elias Pettersson · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–1
- P2 9:07VANElias PetterssonAssists: Ilya Mikheyev, Andrei Kuzmenko · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–2
- P2 13:06VANJ.T. MillerAssists: Bo Horvat, Conor Garland · Snap, 0.15 xG1–3
- P2 19:14ANARyan StromeAssists: Trevor Zegras, Troy Terry · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–3
- P3 5:30VANDakota JoshuaAssists: Jack Studnicka, Nils Aman · Backhand, 0.14 xG2–4
- P3 5:54VANAndrei KuzmenkoPPAssists: Elias Pettersson, Quinn Hughes · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–5
- P3 7:51ANAMaxime ComtoisAssists: Ryan Strome · Backhand, 0.06 xG3–5
- P3 13:35ANATrevor ZegrasPPAssists: John Klingberg, Troy Terry · Wrist, 0.04 xG4–5
- P3 14:48VANAndrei KuzmenkoGWGAssists: Tyler Myers, Elias Pettersson · Tip-in, 0.07 xG4–6
- P3 16:48VANAndrei KuzmenkoAssists: Elias Pettersson · Wrist, 0.07 xG4–7
- P3 17:38ANAMax JonesAssists: Nathan Beaulieu, Mason McTavish · Wrist, 0.74 xG5–7
- P3 19:05VANBo HorvatENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.39 xG5–8
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:12VANDakota Joshua: Fighting5 min
- P1 3:12ANANathan Beaulieu: Fighting5 min
- P1 3:52ANAFrank Vatrano: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 15:52VANOliver Ekman-Larsson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 18:51ANAMaxime Comtois: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 5:30ANATrevor Zegras: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min · PPG
- P3 12:39VANDakota Joshua: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 18:12VANConor Garland: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lundeström won the faceoff against Dries
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestJones – Leason – McTavish5:47
xG 0.98–0.05 (96%)attempts 11–4goals 1–0
- Strome – Terry – Zegras2:34
xG 0.06–0.03 (65%)attempts 1–3goals 1–0
- Terry – Comtois – Zegras2:00
xG 0.07–0.04 (63%)attempts 2–2goals 1–0
- Grant – Silfverberg – Lundeström9:36
xG 0.22–0.49 (31%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Beaulieu10:18
xG 1.00–0.75 (57%)attempts 12–13goals 2–2
- Kulikov – Fowler2:04
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Fowler – Benoit12:23
xG 0.24–0.67 (26%)attempts 6–12goals 0–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestPettersson – Mikheyev – Kuzmenko11:59
xG 1.03–0.19 (84%)attempts 12–5goals 3–0
- Miller – Horvat – Garland11:52
xG 0.42–0.07 (86%)attempts 10–3goals 1–1
- Pearson – Dries – Podkolzin8:38
xG 0.36–0.13 (74%)attempts 12–6goals 0–1
- Joshua – Studnicka – Aman8:05
xG 0.63–1.08 (37%)attempts 9–11goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Bear2:42
xG 0.28–0.04 (86%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Ekman-Larsson – Bear15:36
xG 0.48–0.29 (62%)attempts 12–14goals 1–0
- Myers – Stillman13:48
xG 0.55–0.46 (55%)attempts 15–6goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).