Sat, Nov 5, 2022·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Chicago Blackhawks 0, Winnipeg Jets 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 012 | 09 | 09 | 030 |
| WPG | 011 | 313 | 113 | 437 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 10:04WPGJosh MorrisseyPPGWGAssists: Mark Scheifele, Pierre-Luc Dubois · Slap, 0.05 xG0–1
- P2 13:33WPGAdam LowrySHAssists: Dylan DeMelo, Brenden Dillon · Snap, 0.12 xG0–2
- P2 17:55WPGPierre-Luc DuboisPPAssists: Kyle Connor, Josh Morrissey · Snap, 0.17 xG0–3
- P3 4:59WPGNate SchmidtPPAssists: Cole Perfetti · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–4
Penalties (7)
- P2 6:25WPGDylan DeMelo: Holding2 min
- P2 9:21CHIJujhar Khaira: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 13:23WPGSam Gagner: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:48CHITaylor Raddysh: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 3:13CHIAndreas Athanasiou: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P3 15:59WPGDylan DeMelo: High sticking2 min
- P3 16:38CHICaleb Jones: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubois won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestToews – Raddysh – Kurashev11:23
xG 0.97–0.89 (52%)attempts 15–14goals 0–0
- Khaira – Katchouk – Johnson9:21
xG 0.58–0.51 (53%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Lafferty – Entwistle10:31
xG 0.10–0.65 (14%)attempts 3–11goals 0–0
- Kane – Athanasiou – Domi11:18
xG 0.34–0.95 (26%)attempts 8–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTinordi – Murphy16:36
xG 1.01–0.77 (57%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
- Johnson – McCabe17:30
xG 0.40–1.16 (25%)attempts 12–21goals 0–0
- Jones – Regula13:19
xG 0.60–1.44 (29%)attempts 13–23goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestLowry – Maenalanen – Jonsson-Fjallby9:08
xG 0.97–0.08 (93%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Gagner – Harkins – Gustafsson7:51
xG 0.52–0.22 (70%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Dubois – Perfetti12:12
xG 0.65–0.39 (62%)attempts 15–7goals 0–0
- Scheifele – Connor – Appleton13:14
xG 1.04–1.02 (50%)attempts 15–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMorrissey – Pionk15:28
xG 1.53–0.62 (71%)attempts 25–11goals 0–0
- Dillon – Schmidt13:01
xG 1.03–0.72 (59%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
- DeMelo – Capobianco12:37
xG 0.52–0.57 (48%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).