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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 5, 2022·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

New York Islanders 0, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 57% of the time.

DET winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 0:45Shot by Oesterle, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 2:57Shot by Veleno, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 3:13Palmieri: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Maatta, Erne, Oesterle, Rasmussen, Zadina · NYI Parise, Palmieri, Pageau, Dobson, Romanov

  6. P1 3:37Shot by Seider, saved by Varlamov5v4
  7. P1 4:12Shot by Perron, saved by Varlamov5v4
  8. P1 5:16Shot by Chiarot, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 6:26Shot by Lee, saved by Husso
  10. P1 6:46Shot by Suter, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 7:44Shot by Perron, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 7:53Romanov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Kubalik, Copp, Oesterle, Lindstrom · NYI Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Beauvillier, Romanov

  13. P1 8:50Shot by Pageau, saved by Husso5v4
  14. P1 9:55Shot by Zadina, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 12:52Shot by Kubalik, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 13:01Shot by Dobson, saved by Husso
  17. P1 15:01Shot by Suter, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 15:41Shot by Copp, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 17:41Shot by Parise, saved by Husso
  20. P1 17:44Shot by Parise, saved by Husso
  21. P1 17:46Shot by Pageau, saved by Husso
  22. P1 18:11Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Husso
  23. P1 18:51Shot by Larkin, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 3:18Shot by Soderblom, saved by Varlamov
  27. P2 3:58Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Varlamov
  28. P2 4:01Shot by Oesterle, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 4:58Wahlstrom: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Suter, Seider, Raymond · NYI Bailey, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal, Wahlstrom

  30. P2 5:42Pelech: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Perron, Kubalik, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · NYI Parise, Pageau, Mayfield, Romanov

  31. P2 6:16Shot by Perron, saved by Varlamov5v3
  32. P2 6:29Goal by Raymond (Kubalik, Larkin)5v3+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Kubalik, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Pulock

  33. P2 7:22Shot by Chiarot, saved by Varlamov5v4
  34. P2 7:58Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 8:29Shot by Lee, saved by Husso
  36. P2 8:33Shot by Pelech, saved by Husso
  37. P2 10:19Shot by Mayfield, saved by Husso
  38. P2 11:47Larkin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Suter, Seider, Raymond · NYI Parise, Palmieri, Pageau, Mayfield, Aho

  39. P2 12:51Goal by Suter (Erne, Seider)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Erne, Suter, Seider · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Barzal, Dobson

  40. P2 14:14Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Husso
  41. P2 15:23Shot by Raymond, saved by Sorokin
  42. P2 19:26Hronek: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Maatta, Kubalik, Copp, Hronek · NYI Lee, Nelson, Beauvillier, Dobson, Romanov

  43. P2 19:44Shot by Nelson, saved by Husso4v5
  44. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 3:43Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Husso
  47. P3 3:49Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Husso
  48. P3 3:55Shot by Nelson, saved by Husso
  49. P3 4:32Lindstrom: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Kubalik, Copp, Oesterle, Lindstrom · NYI Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Beauvillier, Aho

  50. P3 5:03Shot by Dobson, saved by Husso4v5
  51. P3 6:15Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Husso4v5
  52. P3 7:08Shot by Barzal, saved by Husso
  53. P3 7:46Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Husso
  54. P3 7:48Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Husso
  55. P3 9:41Shot by Barzal, saved by Husso
  56. P3 10:13Goal by Kubalik (Copp)+4 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Kubalik, Copp, Oesterle, Lindstrom · NYI Lee, Nelson, Beauvillier, Dobson, Romanov

  57. P3 11:37Shot by Suter, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 12:49Shot by Raymond, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 13:43Shot by Aho, saved by Husso
  60. P3 15:15Lee: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Perron, Chiarot, Kubalik, Copp, Seider · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Pageau, Barzal, Dobson

  61. P3 16:02Shot by Perron, saved by Varlamov5v4
  62. P3 16:33Shot by Parise, saved by Husso5v4
  63. P3 18:07Shot by Pulock, saved by Husso5v6
  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final