Sat, Nov 5, 2022·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Anaheim Ducks 5, San Jose Sharks 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 24 | 06 | 211 | 04 | 3 | 525 |
| SJS | 121 | 213 | 113 | 05 | 2 | 452 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:54SJSKevin LabancAssists: Timo Meier, Matt Benning · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 12:06ANABrett LeasonAssists: John Klingberg, Mason McTavish · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–1
- P1 17:20ANAMaxime ComtoisAssists: Trevor Zegras, Brett Leason · Snap, 0.12 xG2–1
- P2 8:09SJSTimo MeierAssists: Erik Karlsson, Tomas Hertl · Slap, 0.11 xG2–2
- P2 16:35SJSLuke KuninPPAssists: Tomas Hertl, Kevin Labanc · Tip-in, 0.15 xG2–3
- P3 9:33SJSTomas HertlAssists: Timo Meier · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–4
- P3 15:58ANAMason McTavishAssists: Dmitry Kulikov · Wrist, 0.16 xG3–4
- P3 18:32ANAAdam HenriqueAssists: Troy Terry, Trevor Zegras · Wrist, 0.28 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. SJS Logan Couture stopped
- 2. ANA Trevor Zegras scored
- 3. SJS Kevin Labanc scored
- 4. ANA Troy Terry stopped
- 5. SJS Nick Bonino scored
- 6. ANA Mason McTavish scored
- 7. SJS Erik Karlsson stopped
- 8. ANA Maxime Comtois stopped
- 9. SJS Timo Meier stopped
- 10. ANA Adam Henrique scored
Penalties (11)
- P1 4:49SJSJonah Gadjovich: Fighting5 min
- P1 4:49ANANathan Beaulieu: Fighting5 min
- P1 14:02ANAMax Jones: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 19:43ANAKevin Shattenkirk: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:15ANASimon Benoit: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 15:15ANAFrank Vatrano: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P2 15:15SJSTimo Meier: Roughing2 min
- P2 16:35ANATrevor Zegras: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P3 3:09ANASimon Benoit: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:09SJSJonah Gadjovich: Slashing2 min
- P3 13:51ANAMason McTavish: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hertl won the faceoff against Lundeström
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestJones – Leason – McTavish6:47
xG 0.58–0.40 (59%)attempts 9–9goals 1–0
- Strome – Terry – Zegras4:20
xG 0.16–0.27 (38%)attempts 6–4goals 0–1
- Silfverberg – Jones – Lundeström2:15
xG 0.00–0.29 (0%)attempts 0–6goals 0–1
- Henrique – Vatrano – Zegras6:30
xG 0.04–0.52 (7%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Beaulieu6:38
xG 0.53–0.47 (53%)attempts 12–12goals 0–1
- Fowler – Klingberg3:50
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Shattenkirk – White3:47
xG 0.12–0.13 (49%)attempts 1–1goals 1–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHertl – Labanc – Meier9:40
xG 0.95–0.22 (81%)attempts 18–4goals 3–1
- Couture – Nieto – Barabanov9:58
xG 0.69–0.20 (77%)attempts 12–7goals 0–1
- Lindblom – Lorentz – Gadjovich6:11
xG 0.56–0.17 (77%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Bonino – Kunin – Sturm8:33
xG 0.44–0.40 (52%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Benning12:23
xG 1.10–0.25 (81%)attempts 15–7goals 1–1
- Karlsson – Megna15:50
xG 0.83–0.44 (66%)attempts 20–8goals 1–1
- Ferraro – Simek12:01
xG 0.50–0.59 (46%)attempts 13–15goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).